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跟进:以色列大选计票约86%:利库德26席居首、两大阵营均未过半,赫尔佐格吁各党避免再次选举

2026-10-28 · 世界 · GSM News事件

以色列议会选举计票已推进至约86%:总理 Benjamin Netanyahu 领导的利库德集团以26席居第一大党,其右翼阵营预计赢得53席,前参谋长 Gadi Eisenkot 领导的反对阵营预计48席,阿拉伯政党合计19席,两大阵营均未达到组阁所需的61席多数。总统赫尔佐格10月28日在耶路撒冷总统府发表选后首次公开表态,呼吁各党尽一切努力避免再次选举。

据以色列媒体公布的中央选举委员会计票数据,截至10月28日,约85.6%的选票已统计完毕,约合487.6万张。各党预计席位为:利库德26席,Eisenkot 的 Yashar 党21席,Naftali Bennett 的 Beyachad 党与阿拉伯政党联合名单各12席,民主党8席,沙斯党、统一托拉犹太教党、以色列是我们的家园党、犹太力量党与 Ra'am 党各7席,宗教锡安主义与 Zehut 联盟6席。本次选举投票率为77.7%,为1999年以来最高。

尚有超过50万张「双层信封」特殊选票未计完,包括军人、预备役人员、外交人员与住院患者等在指定投票站之外投出的选票,定于当地时间10月28日午夜前后开始清点、29日晚完成,最终计票结果预计30日上午明朗,正式结果将于11月4日公布。个别席位仍可能有一两席变动。

赫尔佐格28日在耶路撒冷总统府表示:「我们必须尽一切努力,尤其在昨天之后,避免再次举行选举。」「我希望每一位来到这里的人,都带着开放的心态。」他表示,下周将从中央选举委员会接收正式结果,随后逐一咨询议会各党团,听取各方意见并展开讨论,再决定将组阁授权授予哪位议员。他还称赞本次77.7%的高投票率,称这是「以色列社会的荣誉」,显示民众对民主的渴望。

Netanyahu 27日晚在利库德总部表示,利库德已是议会最大党,呼吁组建强有力的全国右翼政府;他未宣布获胜,称「这只是开始,将等待正式结果」。Eisenkot 则表示,选民已对 Netanyahu 投下不信任票,呼吁其退出政坛,并称在如此高的投票率下再次举行选举将是一个错误。按以色列组阁程序,获总统授权者有28天时间组建政府,总统可再延长14天;若组阁失败,总统可改授他人,再败则议会解散、重新选举。

美国总统特朗普10月28日在空军一号上向记者表示,他在选前对 Netanyahu 的公开背书帮助了对方的选情。这是特朗普本人的说法。特朗普曾于10月18日发文,称给予 Netanyahu「完全且彻底的支持」。

关联:以色列10月27日举行议会选举投票:733万选民选第26届议会,12018个投票站开放至晚10时

Follow-Up: With About 86% Counted, Likud Leads Israel Election With 26 Seats but Neither Bloc Has a Majority; Herzog Urges Parties to Avoid Another Election

With about 86 percent of ballots counted in Israel's parliamentary election, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud remained the largest party with a projected 26 seats. His right-wing bloc was projected to win 53 seats, the opposition bloc led by former military chief Gadi Eisenkot 48, and Arab parties a combined 19, leaving both major blocs short of the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. President Isaac Herzog made his first public remarks since the vote at the President's Residence in Jerusalem on October 28, urging the parties to do everything possible to avoid another election.

According to Central Elections Committee figures reported by Israeli media, about 85.6 percent of votes, roughly 4.88 million ballots, had been counted as of October 28. Projected seats: Likud 26; Eisenkot's Yashar 21; Naftali Bennett's Beyachad and the Arab Joint List 12 each; the Democrats 8; Shas, United Torah Judaism, Yisrael Beytenu, Otzma Yehudit and Ra'am 7 each; and the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance 6. Turnout was 77.7 percent, the highest since 1999.

More than 500,000 "double-envelope" ballots, cast by soldiers, reservists, diplomats, hospital patients and others voting away from their assigned polling stations, remain to be counted. Their count was due to begin around midnight on October 28 and finish on the evening of October 29, with the final tally expected on the morning of October 30 and official results to be published on November 4. Individual seat projections could still shift by a seat or two.

Speaking at the President's Residence in Jerusalem on October 28, Herzog said: "We must do everything we can, certainly after yesterday, to avoid another round of elections." "I expect everyone who comes here to come with an open mind," he said. He said he would receive the official results from the Central Elections Committee next week, then consult each Knesset faction, listen to all sides and hold discussions before deciding which lawmaker receives the mandate to form a government. He also praised the 77.7 percent turnout as "a badge of honour for Israeli society" and a sign of the public's desire for democracy.

Netanyahu told supporters at Likud headquarters on the night of October 27 that Likud was now the largest party in the Knesset and called for a strong national right-wing government. He did not declare victory, saying: "This is only the beginning; we will wait for the official results." Eisenkot said voters had delivered a vote of no confidence in Netanyahu and called on him to retire from political life, adding that holding another election after such high turnout would be a mistake. Under Israel's government-formation process, the lawmaker tapped by the president has 28 days to build a coalition, with a possible 14-day extension; if that attempt fails, the president may assign the mandate to another lawmaker, and if that also fails, the Knesset is dissolved and a new election is held.

U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on October 28 that his pre-election endorsement of Netanyahu had helped the Israeli leader's standing. That was Trump's own characterization. Trump had posted on October 18 that he was giving Netanyahu his "Complete and Total Endorsement."

Related: Israel Holds Parliamentary Election on October 27

来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)

图片来源:以色列总统赫尔佐格(资料图,2021年7月)。图片:Avi Ohayon/以色列政府新闻办公室(GPO),CC BY-SA 3.0,经Wikimedia Commons。 / Israeli President Isaac Herzog (file photo, July 2021). Photo: Avi Ohayon, Government Press Office (Israel), CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

本事件进展Story Timeline
  1. 2026-10-19 16:15以色列大选下周举行 民调:艾森科特阵营52席领先、内塔尼亚胡阵营50席 阿拉伯选民投票率或成组阁关键
  2. 2026-10-19 22:38赫格塞思未事先宣布访以会见内塔尼亚胡 万斯同日称不为内塔尼亚胡背书
  3. 2026-10-20 08:50特朗普表态全力支持内塔尼亚胡连任:以色列10月27日大选,同步警告伊朗
  4. 2026-10-21 07:40跟进:以色列央行维持基准利率3.25%不变:连续三次降息后在大选前一周暂停,2026年增长预测5.6%
  5. 2026-10-26 06:35跟进:以色列大选前夜内塔尼亚胡突出特朗普支持:称已指示摩萨德与军方推翻伊朗政权,对手斥其制造恐惧
  6. 2026-10-27 03:52以色列10月27日举行议会选举投票:733万选民选第26届议会,12018个投票站开放至晚10时
  7. 2026-10-27 06:56跟进:以色列大选投票率创49年最快:前五小时31.5%选民已投票,谢克尔升近1%至三周高位
  8. 2026-10-27 13:22跟进:以色列大选出口民调:利库德集团25席成第一大党,两大阵营均未达61席组阁线
  9. 2026-10-28 05:33跟进:以色列大选计票逾七成 内塔尼亚胡阵营预计54席仍未过半 谢克尔跌约2%
  10. 2026-10-28 23:13跟进:以色列大选计票约86%:利库德26席居首、两大阵营均未过半,赫尔佐格吁各党避免再次选举本篇
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