特朗普背书候选人中期选举普遍落败:大选胜率跌至67%

中期选举落幕三天后,特朗普总统的背书成绩单成了共和党内争论的焦点。据 Ballotpedia 统计,特朗普今年在共和党初选中支持的候选人有 96% 赢得了初选;但到了大选,他的背书胜率跌至 67%,低于 2024 年的 89% 与 2020 年的 79%。
参议院是重灾区。特朗普背书的 26 名参议员候选人中只有一半获胜,尽管其中 24 人所在的州是特朗普 2024 年赢下的州。其中最受关注的是德克萨斯州:特朗普力挺的总检察长肯·帕克斯顿输给了民主党州众议员詹姆斯·塔拉里科 12 个百分点,而特朗普两年前在德克萨斯州赢的幅度差不多也是 12 个百分点。特朗普无视参议院领袖与竞选顾问的劝告,没有选择此前多次以两位数优势连任的现任参议员约翰·科宁。保守派评论员格伦·贝克称,帕克斯顿打了「一场我见过的最糟糕的选战」。
在南卡罗来纳州,特朗普青睐政治新人达琳·格雷厄姆,胜过更有经验的候选人,她同样落败。布兰代斯大学政治学教授扎卡里·阿尔伯特说,在经济、战争与腐败令选民焦虑的年份,以对特朗普的忠诚作为选拔标准,反而会在大选中成为拖累。
众议院的情况也没有好转:46 名特朗普背书的众议院候选人已经落败,还有几场尚未判定。其中包括俄亥俄州众议员马克斯·米勒,他输给了民主党人布赖恩·波因德克斯特 9 个百分点。州长竞选同样惨淡:特朗普背书的 23 名州长候选人中只有 9 人获胜,其中俄亥俄州的维韦克·拉马斯瓦米输给民主党人艾米·阿克顿 8 个百分点。约 75% 的美国人将生活在民主党州长治下的州。
《今日美国》指出,民主党此次翻转了 40 多个众议院席位、7 个参议院席位、5 个州长官邸与约 12 个州立法机构。出口民调显示,15% 的非 MAGA 共和党人倒向了民主党一边。白宫没有回应《今日美国》关于总统是否后悔背书部分候选人的置评请求。
Trump-Endorsed Candidates Falter in Midterms: General-Election Win Rate Falls to 67%
Three days after the midterm elections, President Donald Trump's endorsement record has become a flashpoint inside the Republican Party. According to Ballotpedia, 96% of the candidates Trump backed in Republican primaries this year won their primaries. In the general election, however, his endorsement success rate fell to 67%, down from 89% two years ago and 79% in 2020.
The Senate was the worst of it. Only half of the 26 Senate candidates Trump endorsed won their races, even though all but two of those contests took place in states the president had won in 2024. Chief among them was Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who lost to Democratic state Rep. James Talarico by 12 percentage points in a state Trump had won by almost the same margin two years earlier. Trump ignored pleas from Senate leaders and campaign advisers to stick with incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, who had safely won re-election by double-digit margins before. Conservative commentator Glenn Beck called it "the worst campaign I've ever seen anybody run."
In South Carolina, the president favored political novice Darline Graham over more experienced candidates, and she lost as well. Zachary Albert, a political science professor at Brandeis University, said that in a year when voters were anxious about the economy, the war and corruption, selecting candidates for loyalty to Trump "can cut against them" in a general election.
The House was no better: 46 Trump-backed House candidates have lost, with more races still pending. Among them was Rep. Max Miller of Ohio, who lost to Democrat Brian Poindexter by 9 percentage points. Governors' races were equally bleak: just nine of the 23 gubernatorial candidates Trump backed won, including Ohio Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, who lost by 8 points to Democrat Amy Acton. About 75% of Americans will now live in states with Democratic governors.
USA TODAY noted that Democrats flipped more than 40 House seats, seven Senate seats, five governors' mansions and about a dozen state legislative chambers. Exit polls showed 15% of non-MAGA Republicans breaking for Democrats. The White House did not respond to USA TODAY's request for comment on whether the president regretted backing some candidates against party leaders' advice.
来源:《今日美国》
发布:GSM·美国(发布链接)
图片来源:图:特朗普总统在白宫椭圆形办公室(白宫官方照片,公共领域)。President Trump in the Oval Office. (The White House, public domain)
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story
- 2026-11-03 01:07众议院民主党领袖杰弗里斯发表胜选演说:将成为美国史上首位黑人众议院议长
- 2026-11-03 01:07参议院民主党领袖舒默发表胜选演说:称参议院版图迎来世代重塑
- 2026-11-04 01:38中期选举民主党横扫两院 全球股市下挫:纳指期货一度跌逾2%、美元走软、日经指数跌3%
- 2026-11-04 18:25跟进:美股选后收盘大涨 道指飙升1569点创一年半来最佳单日 油价重挫逾8%
- 2026-11-04 19:23舒默:民主党将终结伊朗战争,用拨款权与调查权制衡特朗普
- 2026-11-04 19:23杰弗里斯正式宣布竞选众议院议长:称报复与弹劾特朗普不是民主党的优先事项
- 2026-11-04 19:23德桑蒂斯:民主党掌控参议院后,特朗普任内确认大法官接替人选的机会为零
- 2026-11-04 19:52波兰总理图斯克:民主在美国获胜,劝特朗普不要靠否决权治国
- 2026-11-04 20:11华裔儿科医生Richard Pan击败现任众议员Kiley赢下加州第6选区:新一届国会华裔议员将达六人创纪录
- 2026-11-04 02:20德州新当选参议员塔拉里科称愿与特朗普合作:肯定其边境成绩、列出移民与住房等共同议题
- 2026-11-07 23:45特朗普背书候选人中期选举普遍落败:大选胜率跌至67%本篇
- 2026-11-07 23:45中期选举投票率近49%创一个多世纪第二高,众议院民主党已赢252席
- 2026-11-07 23:50沃伦料掌参议院银行委员会,美联储独立性获新屏障

