跟进：新西兰大选后组阁须等三周：执政联盟初步计票67席仅多1席，正式结果11月27日公布

新西兰11月8日（周日）进入大选后的等待期：谁将组建未来三年的政府，要等到特别选票计完后才能明朗。选举委员会对周六投票的初步计票显示，总理克里斯托弗·卢克森（Christopher Luxon）领导的国家党及其伙伴行动党、新西兰优先党合计有望取得目前推算的131个议席中的67席，而过半门槛是66席，优势只有1席。

尚未计入的是约占总数14%的特别选票，包括海外新西兰人投出的选票与在本人选区之外投票的选票，这部分选票历史上倾向左翼。选举委员会说，特别选票将与最终计票结果一道于11月27日公布。在新政府组成之前，卢克森将领导看守政府。

卢克森与反对党工党领袖克里斯·希普金斯（Chris Hipkins）在选后讲话中都没有宣布胜利。卢克森在记者会上说，他一直说这将是一场非常接近的选举，事实也确实如此，结果意味着什么还要再等三周；但按目前数字，国家党与现有伙伴组建政府「相当可行」。

若国家党联盟在正式计票中失去多数，无论是它还是左翼阵营，都需要中间派机会党的支持—该党有望首次进入议会。卢克森此前多次排除与机会党合作，周日却改口，不再重申排除立场，只说与机会党建立关系「完全合适」，但没有界定这种关系的性质。

本次选举中，国家党与工党的普选得票率双双低于30%，为新西兰1996年采用混合成员比例制以来最低。议会131席中，选区议席为71席，政党名单议席目前推算为60席。国家党得票偏低意味着该党多名资深议员将失去议席，包括财政部长尼古拉·威利斯（Nicola Willis），她将在未来四周继续留任该职。

New Zealand Faces a Three-Week Wait for a Government: Coalition Holds 67 Seats, One Above the Majority Line, With the Final Result Due November 27

New Zealanders faced weeks of uncertainty on Sunday, November 8, over who will govern the country after their general election, with the current coalition holding a slim majority but a potentially decisive slice of votes still to count.

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's National Party and its partners ACT and New Zealand First were on track for 67 of the currently projected 131-seat parliament, Electoral Commission preliminary results of Saturday's vote showed. Sixty-six seats are needed for a majority — a margin of just one seat.

But special votes, around 14% of the total, remain to be counted, the commission said. These — including ballots from overseas New Zealanders and people voting outside their electorates — have historically favored the left. They will be announced with the final count on November 27. Until a coalition to govern New Zealand for the next three years is formed, Mr. Luxon will head a caretaker government.

Neither the prime minister nor opposition leader Chris Hipkins of the Labour Party claimed victory in their speeches following the election. "I've been saying it's going to be a very tight election — it has definitely proven to be that. We unfortunately don't know what that means for another three weeks," Mr. Luxon told a press conference, but added that on current numbers it was "quite feasible" that National could build a government with its current partners.

If the National-led coalition loses its majority at the official count, either it or a left-leaning coalition would require the support of the centrist Opportunity Party, which looks likely to enter parliament for the first time. Mr. Luxon, who had repeatedly ruled out working with Opportunity, softened his stance on Sunday, refusing to again rule the party out and instead saying it would be entirely appropriate to build a relationship with Opportunity, without defining it.

The popular vote shares for National and Labour were each below 30%, their lowest since New Zealand adopted the mixed-member proportional system in 1996, under which people vote for both a party and a local constituency candidate. Of the projected 131 seats, 71 are constituency seats and 60 are party list seats. National's low popular vote means the party is set to lose several senior lawmakers in the next parliament, including Finance Minister Nicola Willis, who remains in the role for the next four weeks.

来源：新西兰选举委员会

发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）

图片来源：图：新西兰惠灵顿国会大厦与「蜂巢」行政大楼（资料图）。照片：Daderot，经 Wikimedia Commons（CC0）。 / Photo: Parliament House and the Beehive in Wellington, New Zealand (file photo). Daderot, via Wikimedia Commons (CC0).

GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story

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