新西兰大选11月7日投票：两大阵营民调难分高下、提前投票已逾125万张
新西兰将于11月7日（周六）举行大选。本周公布的民调显示，总理 Christopher Luxon 领导的国家党联合政府与 Chris Hipkins 领导的工党阵营支持率接近，选情难分高下；最后一份 1News–Verian 民调显示国家党支持率30%、工党29%，现任联合政府距议会多数还差三个席位，中间派的机会党可能成为造王者。
新西兰选举委员会数据显示，提前投票自10月26日开始，截至周二已有1,250,057人投票，高于2023年同期的1,007,928人。Luxon 11月5日在 Hawke's Bay 助选时表示，这场选举将非常接近，呼吁支持者再给国家党三年时间；Hipkins 则表示，工党希望在圣诞节前组建由工党领导的政府。
Luxon 正寻求连任，他在过去一年两度挺过国家党议员的信任投票。由于小党支持率上升，政治评论人士预计大选后组建政府可能需要数周时间；本次大选在很大程度上是对政府应对经济疲弱表现的检验。
New Zealand Votes on November 7: Polls Too Close to Call as Early Voting Passes 1.25 Million
New Zealand holds its general election on Saturday, November 7. Polls released this week show Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's National-led coalition and the Labour bloc led by Chris Hipkins in a contest too close to call; the final 1News–Verian poll put National on 30 percent and Labour on 29 percent, with the governing coalition three seats short of a parliamentary majority and the centrist Opportunity Party positioned as a potential kingmaker.
Figures from the Electoral Commission show early voting, which began on October 26, had reached 1,250,057 votes by Tuesday, up from 1,007,928 at the same point in 2023. Campaigning in Hawke's Bay on November 5, Luxon said the election would likely go down to the wire and urged supporters to give National another three years; Hipkins said Labour hoped to form a Labour-led government before Christmas.
Luxon is seeking a second term after surviving two confidence votes by National MPs in the past year. Commentators expect forming a government could take weeks as support grows for smaller parties, in an election that is largely a verdict on the government's handling of a weak economy.
来源：新西兰选举委员会
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：惠灵顿国会蜂巢大楼。Michal Klajban 摄，Wikimedia Commons，CC BY-SA 4.0。 / Photo: The Beehive in Wellington. Photo by Michal Klajban, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0.
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