路透/Ipsos民调：特朗普支持率降至31%创两任期新低 国会通用选票民主党47%对共和党35%
华盛顿——据路透社10月19日报道，路透社与益普索（Reuters/Ipsos）当日结束的一项为期四天的民调显示，总统特朗普的支持率降至31%，较两周前下降1个百分点，为其两个总统任期内的最低水平。报道称，民调进行之际，选民对高油价的担忧持续，国会选举定于11月3日举行。
在「国会通用选票」问题上，即假设国会选举今天举行、选民会把票投给哪一党，47%的登记选民选择民主党，35%选择共和党。路透社称，民主党12个百分点的领先优势为本选举周期以来最大，可能增强民主党夺取众议院与参议院控制权的希望；对共和党而言，失去任何一院的控制权都可能使特朗普在任期最后两年的施政议程更难推进。
路透社同时说明，通用选票民调反映的是全国整体民意，并不涵盖决定参众两院归属的各州与各选区竞选的全部细节，共和党在部分选区结构上仍占有一定优势。本次民调以在线方式进行，共访问1,679名美国成年人，其中包括1,279名登记选民；全体受访者结果的误差幅度为2个百分点，登记选民结果的误差幅度为3个百分点。
关联：美国选举制度（四）：中期选举：2026年11月3日改选什么
关联：AP-NORC民调：约四分之一亚太裔成年人认可特朗普整体表现 仅约两成认可其经济处理 经济居中期选举议题之首
关联：特朗普支持率跌至33%创历次民调新低 中期选举倒计时两周
Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Trump Approval Falls to a Record Low of 31%; Democrats Lead Generic Congressional Ballot 47% to 35%
Washington — President Donald Trump's approval rating fell to 31 percent, down one percentage point from two weeks earlier and the lowest level of either of his presidential terms, according to a four-day Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on Monday, October 19, Reuters reported. The poll comes as Americans worry about high gasoline prices ahead of the November 3 congressional elections.
Asked which party they would vote for if the congressional elections were held today — the so-called generic ballot question — 47 percent of registered voters picked the Democratic Party and 35 percent chose the Republican Party. Reuters said the 12-point Democratic advantage was the widest of the current election cycle and could bolster Democratic hopes of seizing control of the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate. For Republicans, losing control of either chamber could complicate Trump's agenda in the last two years of his term.
Reuters noted that generic ballot polls provide an overall view of national public sentiment but do not capture all the nuances of the state-by-state and district-by-district contests that determine control of the Senate and the House, contests in which Republicans hold some structural advantages. The online survey gathered responses from 1,679 U.S. adults, including 1,279 registered voters, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points for all respondents and 3 points for registered voters.
Related: America's Electoral System (4): The Midterms: What Is on the Ballot on November 3, 2026
Related: Trump's Approval Falls to a Record-Low 33% in New Polls, Two Weeks Before the Midterms
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：图：特朗普总统10月9日在白宫南草坪登上「海军陆战队一号」专机前与媒体记者交谈，身旁为 Mike Tyson。白宫官方照片（Joyce N. Boghosian 摄），公共领域，经 Wikimedia Commons 发布。
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