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意大利10月通胀初值跳升至5.4%远超预期:受管制能源价格同比涨59.5%,调和通胀达5.6%

2026-10-30 · 金融 · GSM News

意大利国家统计局(Istat)10月30日公布初值数据:意大利2026年10月全国消费者价格指数(NIC)环比上涨0.9%、同比上涨5.4%,同比涨幅高于9月的4.2%,也远高于市场预期的4.5%,回到2023年8月以来的最高水平。

能源价格是本轮跳升的主要推手。受管制能源价格环比大涨18.8%,同比涨幅从9月的25.8%跳升至59.5%;非受管制能源价格环比上涨4.9%,同比涨幅从22.5%升至29.4%。

食品与服务价格也在加速:未加工食品价格环比上涨1.8%,同比涨幅从5.5%升至7.5%;加工食品同比由负转正。服务价格同比上涨2.9%,高于9月的2.6%,其中交通相关服务同比上涨3.1%。

分商品与服务看,商品价格同比上涨7.5%,涨幅明显高于9月的5.4%;剔除能源与生鲜食品的核心通胀从1.6%升至2.0%。

按欧盟统一口径计算的调和消费者价格指数(HICP)10月环比上涨1.2%、同比上涨5.6%,同样高于9月的4.2%。

上述数字为初值、仍可能修订。意大利通胀跳升与欧元区其他主要经济体走势分化:同一天公布的数据显示,法国10月通胀初值升至3.4%,西班牙持平于4.9%,德国主要联邦州的初值则普遍回落。

关联:法国10月通胀初值升至3.4%创近三年新高:能源价格同比涨24.1%,调和通胀达3.8%

关联:西班牙10月通胀初值4.9%与9月持平:核心通胀3.1%,燃油跌价抵进度假与燃气涨价

Italy Flash Inflation Jumps to 5.4% in October, Well Above Forecasts, as Regulated Energy Prices Surge 59.5% and Harmonised Rate Hits 5.6%

Italy's national statistics agency Istat reported preliminary figures on October 30 showing that the Italian consumer price index for the whole nation (NIC) rose 0.9% from September and 5.4% from a year earlier in October 2026. The annual rate accelerated from 4.2% in September, came in well above the 4.5% median forecast, and returned to its highest level since August 2023.

Energy drove the jump. Regulated energy prices surged 18.8% on the month, lifting their annual rate to 59.5% from 25.8% in September, while non-regulated energy prices rose 4.9% on the month and 29.4% on the year, up from 22.5%.

Food and services also accelerated. Unprocessed food prices climbed 1.8% on the month, with the annual rate rising to 7.5% from 5.5%, and processed food prices returned to positive annual growth. Services inflation picked up to 2.9% from 2.6%, with transport-related services up 3.1% on the year.

Goods prices rose 7.5% from a year earlier, up sharply from 5.4% in September, while core inflation, which excludes energy and fresh food, rose to 2.0% from 1.6%.

The harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) rose 1.2% on the month and 5.6% on the year, up from 4.2% in September.

The figures are preliminary and subject to revision. Italy's jump contrasted with mixed readings elsewhere in the euro area on the same day: France's flash inflation rose to 3.4%, Spain's held at 4.9%, and preliminary rates in Germany's major states generally eased.

Related: France Inflation Rises to 3.4% in October, Highest Since December 2023, as Energy Prices Jump 24.1% and Harmonised Inflation Hits 3.8%

Related: Spain Flash Inflation Holds at 4.9% in October: Core Rate Steady at 3.1% as Cheaper Fuel Offsets Holidays and Gas

来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)

图片来源:图:Rome 的 Campo de' Fiori 露天市集(资料图)。Daderot 摄,CC0,经 Wikimedia Commons。 / The Campo de' Fiori open-air market in Rome (file photo). Photo by Daderot, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons.

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