路透社调查：欧洲多国外交官私下认为乌克兰未来几年入盟并不现实，民调支持率从69%跌至47%
布鲁塞尔11月11日消息，路透社11月11日发表的调查报道说，乌克兰把尽快加入欧盟当作摆脱莫斯科轨道的重要目标，但在这个4.5亿人口的富裕集团内部，对基辅短期内入盟的怀疑正在加深。十多名欧盟成员国的外交官与官员私下对路透社表示得更为谨慎：一名不愿具名的高级欧洲外交官直言，乌克兰在未来几年内入盟「不是一个现实的前景」；另一名官员说，多国明年都有选举，各国政府将忙于国内事务，难以为扩大欧盟出力。
欧洲稳定倡议智库主席 Gerald Knaus 说，走访欧洲一圈就会发现，许多国家的政界人士并不指望乌克兰在十年内入盟；但他同时警告，如果传出欧盟对入盟并不认真的信号，会打击乌克兰的士气，这是欧洲没人愿意看到的。
民意也在降温。德国贝塔斯曼基金会10月公布的调查显示，只有47%的欧盟居民认为乌克兰应在未来几年加入欧盟，比例明显低于2022年3月的69%；法国与波兰各有57%的受访者反对乌克兰在未来几年入盟，德国的反对比例为59%。乌克兰外交部发言人 Heorhii Tykhyi 回应说，欧盟内部出现一些怀疑可以预料，但让乌克兰加入欧盟，对欧盟本身也有好处。
路透社指出，入盟谈判即使在顺利的情况下也要经过多年的法律与改革进程，乌克兰还额外背着战争结局未定、腐败积弊与国土人口体量大等难题；任何候选国入盟都须27个成员国一致同意，法国还很可能为此举行全民公投。
关联：泽连斯基与冯德莱恩通话：欧盟将启动特别紧急机制加速援乌资金
（来源：路透社）
Reuters Reporting: Many European Diplomats Privately See Ukraine's EU Accession as Unrealistic in the Next Few Years, as Poll Support Falls to 47 Percent
BRUSSELS, Nov. 11 — Joining the European Union soon is an important aim for Ukraine as it tries to complete its exit from Moscow's orbit, but a Reuters report published on November 11 found deepening scepticism inside the wealthy bloc of 450 million people about Kyiv's prospects. More than a dozen diplomats and officials from EU states were privately more cautious in conversations with Reuters. One senior European diplomat, speaking anonymously, said Ukraine's accession was not a realistic prospect in the next few years; another said many governments will be too busy with national elections next year to make the case for enlarging the bloc.
Gerald Knaus, chairman of the European Stability Initiative think tank, said that travelling around Europe, one realises many politicians do not expect Ukraine to join in 10 years. But he warned that any message that the EU is not serious about Ukraine's accession could have a demoralising effect on the country that nobody in Europe wants to see.
Public support is cooling as well. A survey published in October by the Bertelsmann Stiftung foundation found that only 47 percent of EU residents say Ukraine should join in the coming years, down from 69 percent in March 2022. In France and Poland, 57 percent of those polled opposed Ukrainian membership in the coming years, and in Germany the figure was 59 percent. Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Heorhii Tykhyi responded that some scepticism in the EU was to be expected, but added that getting Ukraine inside the European Union is beneficial for the European Union.
Reuters noted that even in straightforward cases, accession takes years of negotiations and legal reforms, and Kyiv faces additional challenges including uncertainty about the outcome of the war, a history of deep-rooted corruption and Ukraine's large size. Membership must be approved by all 27 EU states, and France would be likely to hold a referendum on Ukraine's bid.
(Source: Reuters)
来源：路透社
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：欧盟委员会总部 Berlaymont 大楼亮起乌克兰国旗颜色灯光。CC BY 4.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: The Berlaymont building, headquarters of the European Commission, illuminated in the colours of the Ukrainian flag. CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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