全国广播公司预测拉曼击败巴斯当选洛杉矶市长：最新计票拉曼429,450票、52.10%领先
美国加利福尼亚州洛杉矶市消息，全国广播公司 2026 年 11 月 5 日预测，洛杉矶市议员妮西娅·拉曼击败现任市长凯伦·巴斯，当选洛杉矶市长。决策台总部、哥伦比亚广播公司亦作出相同预测。美联社尚未宣布这场选战的胜负。
洛杉矶县选务登记官／县书记官办公室 11 月 5 日周四上午公布的最新计票显示，拉曼获得 429,450 票、52.10%，巴斯获得 394,796 票、47.90%，两人差距为 34,654 票；已计票数占预期总票数的 76%。与 11 月 4 日周三下午 4 时 28 分的更新相比，拉曼的领先优势进一步扩大：当时拉曼为 405,193 票、51.67%，巴斯为 379,069 票、48.33%，差距 26,124 票。
计票走势自选举日当晚以来持续向拉曼倾斜。11 月 3 日选举日当晚 9 时，巴斯一度领先约 10,600 票；11 月 4 日凌晨 3 时 11 分的更新中，拉曼反超，领先 16,594 票；此后每一次更新，拉曼的优势都在扩大。
拉曼现年 45 岁，已连任两届市议员，是民主社会主义者组织成员。她于 2026 年 2 月宣布挑战曾为政治盟友的巴斯，6 月初选以 29% 的得票率位居第二，与得票率 34% 的巴斯一同进入 11 月决选。巴斯寻求第二个市长任期。若预测成真，这将是 2005 年以来现任洛杉矶市长首次连任失败；拉曼将于 12 月 14 日宣誓就职，任期四年。
县选务部门将继续每日更新计票结果，11 月 27 日前认证选举结果。根据加利福尼亚州法律，选举日当天盖有邮戳并在七天内寄达的邮寄选票仍可计入。
关联：
洛杉矶市长计票再更新：拉曼405,193票、51.67%领先巴斯，差距扩大至26,124票
NBC News Projects Raman Defeats Bass to Become Los Angeles Mayor; Latest Count Puts Raman at 429,450 Votes, 52.10%
LOS ANGELES, California — NBC News projected on November 5, 2026, that Los Angeles City Councilmember Nithya Raman has defeated incumbent Mayor Karen Bass to become the city's next mayor. Decision Desk HQ and CBS News made the same projection. The Associated Press has not called the race.
The latest update from the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk on Thursday morning showed Raman with 429,450 votes, or 52.10 percent, and Bass with 394,796 votes, or 47.90 percent, a margin of 34,654 votes, with 76 percent of the expected vote counted. That widened Raman's lead from the Wednesday 4:28 p.m. update, when she had 405,193 votes, or 51.67 percent, to Bass's 379,069, or 48.33 percent, a margin of 26,124 votes.
The count has moved steadily in Raman's favor since election night. Bass led by about 10,600 votes at 9 p.m. on Tuesday, November 3; by the 3:11 a.m. Wednesday update, Raman was ahead by 16,594 votes, and every update since has widened her margin.
Raman, 45, is a two-term city councilmember and a member of the Democratic Socialists of America. She announced her challenge to Bass, once a political ally, in February 2026, finished second in the June primary with 29 percent of the vote, and advanced to the November runoff with Bass, who led the primary with 34 percent. Bass was seeking a second term as mayor. If the projection holds, it would be the first time since 2005 that an incumbent Los Angeles mayor has lost re-election. Raman is to be sworn into office on December 14 for a four-year term.
The county elections office will continue posting daily count updates, and results are scheduled to be certified by November 27. Under California law, mail ballots postmarked by Election Day and received within seven days will still be counted.
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来源：全国广播公司
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：洛杉矶市政厅。Wikimedia Commons，CC BY-SA 4.0。 / Photo: Los Angeles City Hall. Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0.
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story
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