万斯称共和党中期选举败选的原因就是伊朗战争：特朗普回应称自己做得对、还会再做一次
美国副总统万斯11月4日在社交平台 X 发表长帖复盘中期选举，称共和党惨败的原因就是对伊朗的战争。民主党在11月3日的选举中夺回参众两院控制权，并在多个共和党传统票仓 取得几十年来首次的胜利。
万斯在帖中援引本方一名民调人员对倒戈选民的归纳，称2024年投给特朗普、这次改投民主党的选民最在意的四件事依次是：结束伊朗战争、聚焦生活成本、把美国放在首位、改变美国与以色列的关系。万斯写道：「我们输的原因就是这场战争，总统本人昨晚也是这么说的。如果你想论证这场战争值得、值得为此输掉参议院六年，那就去论证吧。」
万斯还警告，接下来几个月共和党内会有人试图用其他解释掩盖败因，任何鼓吹大赦移民的人都是在欺骗选民，并称此前有人建议结束这场战争是「明智的建议」。路透社指出，这是万斯就任副总统以来与特朗普分歧最公开的一次表态，眼下特朗普政府正考虑是否重启对伊朗的大规模作战行动，万斯的表态可能使这一决策进一步复杂化。万斯目前受特朗普委派主导与伊朗的和平谈判，他11月2日曾表示美方未就恢复打击设定最后期限。
特朗普的回应则明显更为克制。他对《华尔街日报》表示，伊朗战争只是共和党败选的多个原因之一，但他坚持开战是正确决定：「我做得对，换作再来一次我还会这么做。」11月4日被问及万斯的批评时，特朗普在白宫舞厅施工现场表示，就这场战争而言他不会做出任何不同的选择；被问到万斯是否是其2028年接班人时，他说「他也许不会参选」。
选民态度数据与万斯的判断相互印证。NBC 新闻出口民调显示，74%的受访者称伊朗战争是其投票的重要或关键因素，只有37%认为美国对伊朗采取军事行动是正确决定。另据一项10月民调，65%的受访者不认可特朗普处理这场冲突的方式。
这场公开分歧也牵动五角大楼人事。路透社称，国防部长 Pete Hegseth 在国会本已不得人心，部分议员预计将寻求弹劾他；特朗普11月4日则表示，他认为 Hegseth「做得非常好」，白宫发言人称总统对他有充分信心。
关联：跟进：特朗普在选举夜与CBS通话时祝贺民主党胜选：称期待为国家利益与他们合作
Vance Blames the Iran War Entirely for the Republican Midterm Defeat: Trump Says He Did the Right Thing and Would Do It Again
U.S. Vice President JD Vance, in a lengthy post on X on November 4 reviewing the midterm elections, said the reason Republicans lost was the war on Iran. Democrats regained control of both the Senate and the House in the November 3 vote, scoring sweeping victories in Republican strongholds for the first time in generations.
Citing a pollster on his own side who had analyzed voters who switched, Vance said the top four priorities of voters who backed Trump in 2024 but abandoned Republicans this time were ending the war in Iran, focusing on the cost of living, putting America first, and changing the U.S. relationship with Israel. "The reason we lost is the war," Vance wrote. "The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so."
Vance also warned that establishment figures would try to explain the defeat away in the coming months, said anyone pushing amnesty for immigrants was lying to voters, and described an earlier recommendation to end the war as "sound advice." Reuters described the post as the most public break yet between the vice president and President Donald Trump, coming as the administration weighs whether to restart major combat operations against Iran; Vance, whom Trump has tasked with leading peace negotiations with Tehran, said on November 2 that the United States had set no deadline for resuming strikes.
Trump's response was far more measured. He told The Wall Street Journal that the Iran war was only one of several reasons for the defeat, while insisting the decision to go to war was right: "I did the right thing. I would have done it again." Asked on November 4 about Vance's critique, Trump said at the White House ballroom construction site that he would have done nothing different on the war, and, asked whether Vance was his heir apparent for 2028, said, "Maybe he won't run."
Voter data supports Vance's reading. An NBC News exit poll found 74 percent of respondents called the Iran war a crucial or major factor in their vote, while only 37 percent said the United States made the right decision to take military action against Iran. An October poll put disapproval of Trump's handling of the conflict at 65 percent.
The public split also touches Pentagon leadership. Reuters noted that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is already deeply unpopular in Congress, where some lawmakers are expected to seek his impeachment; Trump said on November 4 that Hegseth was "doing a very good job," and a White House spokesperson said the president has full confidence in him.
Related: Follow-Up: Vance Says U.S.-Iran Talks Are Making Progress, With No Deadline Set for Resuming Strikes
来源：路透社
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：美国副总统万斯官方肖像。公共领域，美国政府作品，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: Official portrait of U.S. Vice President JD Vance. Public domain, U.S. government work, via Wikimedia Commons.
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story
