欧盟:委员会下调2026/27年度玉米与软小麦产量预测 玉米降至4700万吨

欧盟委员会下调了欧盟2026/27年度可用玉米产量预测至4700万吨,并把软小麦产量预测从此前的1.242亿吨下调至1.237亿吨。
委员会同时把期末库存下调至1060万吨,原因是期初库存被下修。调整来自期初库存数据的修订以及对当前作物周期单产预期的更新。
产量预测下调与主要谷物期末库存收紧,通常会对农产品价格形成上行压力。这一变化发生在世界银行最新大宗商品展望警告粮食价格可能继续上涨的同一周,谷物供应预期受到市场密切关注。
EU: Commission Cuts 2026/27 Maize and Soft Wheat Forecasts, Maize to 47.0 Million Tonnes
The European Commission has reduced its 2026/27 usable maize production estimate for the European Union to 47.0 million metric tons, and trimmed its soft wheat output forecast to 123.7 million tons from a previous estimate of 124.2 million tons.
Ending stocks were also lowered to 10.6 million tons, following a reduction in beginning stocks. The adjustments stem from revised beginning-stock data and updated yield expectations for the current crop cycle.
Lower production estimates and tighter ending stocks for major grains typically exert upward pressure on agricultural commodity prices, and the revision lands in the same week the World Bank's latest commodity outlook warned that food prices could keep rising, keeping grain supply expectations under close market watch.
来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)
图片来源:照片:玉米田(资料图),Paranoid 摄,Wikimedia Commons,公共领域 / Photo: maize field, by Paranoid, Wikimedia Commons, public domain
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