欧元区第三季度GDP增长0.4%高于预期：爱尔兰增长5.5%居首，法国收缩0.1%
欧盟统计局（Eurostat）10月30日公布初步快估数据：欧元区2026年第三季度国内生产总值（GDP）经季节调整后环比增长0.4%，欧盟整体增长0.5%，均高于路透社调查给出的0.2%预期中值。
与去年同期相比，欧元区第三季度GDP增长1.3%，欧盟增长1.5%，分别高于第二季度的1.2%与1.4%。从环比看，欧元区第二季度增长0.6%、欧盟增长0.7%，第三季度增速有所放缓，但仍保持扩张。
成员国中，Ireland（爱尔兰）环比增长5.5%，为已公布数据国家中最高；Estonia、Spain 与 Netherlands 各增长0.6%。欧元区最大经济体 Germany 增长0.2%，Italy 与上季度持平，France 收缩0.1%，Lithuania 收缩1.0%，为仅有的两个环比下降的国家；按同比计算，14个国家保持正增长、1个国家为负增长。欧盟统计局同时提醒，爱尔兰的快估数据属于实验性序列、波动较大，解读时须格外审慎。
欧盟统计局表示，本次快估基于19个成员国的数据，覆盖欧元区GDP的96%与欧盟GDP的94%；数据为初步估算，后续可能修订，下一次估值定于11月13日发布，其后还将在12月7日与2027年1月19日发布常规估值。完整数据见欧盟统计局（Eurostat）这份快估原文。
Euro Area GDP Grows 0.4% in Third Quarter, Beating Forecasts: Ireland Jumps 5.5% as France Contracts 0.1%
Seasonally adjusted GDP increased by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.5% in the European Union in the third quarter of 2026, according to a preliminary flash estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, on October 30. Both figures came in above the 0.2% median forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.
Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP increased by 1.3% in the euro area and by 1.5% in the EU in the third quarter, after increases of 1.2% and 1.4% respectively in the second quarter. Quarter on quarter, growth slowed from 0.6% in the euro area and 0.7% in the EU in the second quarter, but remained in expansion.
Among the member states for which data are available, Ireland recorded the highest increase at 5.5%, followed by Estonia, Spain and the Netherlands, all at 0.6%. Germany, the euro area's largest economy, grew by 0.2%, Italy was unchanged, and declines were recorded in France, at 0.1%, and Lithuania, at 1.0%. Year on year, growth was positive in fourteen countries and negative in one. Eurostat cautions that Ireland's flash estimate is an experimental series subject to large swings and must be interpreted with particular care.
Eurostat said the flash estimate is based on data from 19 member states, covering 96% of euro area GDP and 94% of EU GDP. The figures are preliminary and subject to revision; the next estimates for the third quarter will be released on November 13, 2026, followed by regular estimates on December 7, 2026 and January 19, 2027.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：图：欧元纸币与硬币（资料图）。照片：公共领域，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Euro banknotes and coins (file photo). Photo: Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.
