德国联邦国防军首次将俄罗斯破坏威胁列为「重大」：Wunstorf 基地附近发现载炸药坠毁无人机
德国联邦国防军首次将俄罗斯对德军人员与设施的破坏威胁评级定为「重大」（significant），这是其内部威胁量表上的第二高等级。据德国 WDR 广播公司与《南德意志报》10月21日披露的联邦国防军评估文件，触发此次上调的直接原因是9月中旬在下萨克森州 Wunstorf 空军基地附近发现一架坠毁无人机，机上载有一罐高爆炸药。德国国防部发言人向记者证实了这一评估：「我们注意到，联邦国防军整体上面临重大的破坏威胁。」
内部文件称，俄罗斯通过使用武器化无人机，已越过一条「先前预判的、涉及动能和／或致命效果的有害意图红线」。调查人员认为，Wunstorf 无人机瞄准的是联邦国防军飞机，其样式与今年8月 Leipzig/Halle 机场未遂袭击中装载炸药的无人机相似；德方已将 Leipzig 事件归咎于俄罗斯，莫斯科方面否认涉案，并一贯否认在欧洲实施破坏或混合攻击。文件还列举了多起疑似俄方侦察活动，包括无人机飞越萨克森-安哈尔特州的「箭-3」导弹防御阵地，以及在威斯特法伦 Minden 一座战略铁路站发现伪装摄像头。情报部门预计短期内局势将进一步恶化。
国防部发言人表示，各基地正按自身情况加强防范，措施包括增加警卫巡逻、加装红外摄像头与围栏监控系统等。此次评估公布一周多前，德国内政部长 Alexander Dobrindt 曾称德国面临一场「影子战争」，并呼吁扩大情报权限。总理 Friedrich Merz 周三表示，俄罗斯的虚假信息与混合攻击是德国面临的最大威胁，民众仍在低估这一威胁。（据路透社10月21日报道整理，原始披露为 WDR 与《南德意志报》）
Germany's Military Classifies Russian Sabotage Threat as 'Significant' for the First Time After Explosive-Laden Drone Found Near Wunstorf Air Base
Germany's armed forces have classified the threat of Russian sabotage against Bundeswehr troops and facilities as "significant" for the first time, the second-highest level on their internal threat scale, according to a Bundeswehr assessment reported by broadcasters WDR and the Sueddeutsche Zeitung on Wednesday, October 21. A defence ministry spokesperson confirmed the assessment, telling reporters: "We are noting that we face a significant sabotage threat overall for the Bundeswehr." The reassessment was triggered by the discovery in mid-September of a crashed drone carrying a tin of high explosives near the Wunstorf air base in Lower Saxony.
The internal document said Russia had crossed "a previously anticipated red line of harmful intent involving kinetic and/or lethal effects" against Germany and the Bundeswehr through the use of weaponised drones. Investigators believe the Wunstorf drone was aimed at Bundeswehr aircraft and resembled an explosive-laden drone used in a failed attack at Leipzig/Halle airport in August, an incident Germany has blamed on Russia; Moscow has denied involvement and consistently rejects accusations of sabotage or hybrid attacks in Europe. The report also cited drone overflights of the Arrow 3 missile defence site in Saxony-Anhalt and a camouflaged camera found filming a strategically important railway station in Minden, Westphalia, with intelligence services expecting the situation to worsen in the short term.
The defence ministry spokesperson said preventive measures were being tailored to individual sites, ranging from increased guard patrols to infrared cameras and fence surveillance. The assessment came just over a week after Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt said Germany faced a "shadow war" and called for expanded intelligence powers. Chancellor Friedrich Merz said on Wednesday that Russian disinformation and hybrid attacks posed the biggest threat to Germany and that the public was still underestimating it. (Compiled from Reuters, October 21, based on reporting by WDR and the Sueddeutsche Zeitung)
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：德国联邦国防军士兵演训实景。图片来源：Wikimedia Commons 文件 Two Bundeswehr soldiers fire their weapons.JPG，Gertrud Zach（美国陆军）摄，Public domain（公有领域）授权
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