英国9月通胀升至3.5%高于预期：能源价格推升物价，财政大臣下周公布首份预算
伦敦——英国国家统计局10月21日公布的数据显示，英国9月消费者价格通胀率从8月的3.1%升至3.5%，高于市场预期。据路透社报道，路透社调查的经济学家预期中值为3.4%，英格兰银行7月时的预测为3.0%；通胀上升主要源于伊朗战争导致的能源价格上涨。
英国财政大臣 John Healey 将于10月28日公布其首份预算。同日公布的公共财政数据显示，英国政府9月借款245.2亿英镑，高于预期的238.5亿英镑，公共债务首次超过3万亿英镑；不过国家统计局表示，债务占经济的比重低于一年前。
英格兰银行表示，能源价格冲击迄今对英国更广泛通胀的影响有限，但行长 Andrew Bailey 等决策者也表示，能源价格居高不下越久，加息的可能性越大。投资者预期英格兰银行下月将把基准利率上调至4%，为三年来首次加息；自2月美伊战争爆发以来，该行一直按兵不动。
路透社指出，由于高度依赖进口天然气，英国受海湾战争的影响比多数西方国家更大。周二公布的数据显示劳动力市场出现企稳迹象，可能进一步支持加息的理由。
UK Inflation Rises More Than Expected to 3.5% in September Ahead of Budget
LONDON — Britain's annual consumer price inflation rose to 3.5 percent in September from 3.1 percent in August, more than expected, official figures released on October 21 showed. A Reuters poll of economists had forecast 3.4 percent, while the Bank of England predicted 3.0 percent in July; the rise was driven by energy prices pushed up by the Iran war.
Finance minister John Healey is due to deliver his first budget on October 28. Separate data on Wednesday showed government borrowing of 24.52 billion pounds in September, above the 23.85 billion forecast, and public sector debt exceeding 3 trillion pounds for the first time, although the Office for National Statistics said debt as a share of the economy was lower than a year earlier.
The Bank of England has said the energy shock has had a limited impact on broader inflation so far, but Governor Andrew Bailey and other policymakers have said the likelihood of a rate hike grows the longer energy prices stay elevated. Investors expect the central bank to raise Bank Rate to 4 percent next month, its first increase in three years; it has held policy since the outbreak of the US-Iran war in February.
Britain has been more affected than most Western countries by the war in the Gulf due to its heavy reliance on imported natural gas, Reuters noted. Labour market data released on Tuesday showed signs of stabilisation, potentially adding to the case for a rate hike.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：自泰晤士河南岸眺望伦敦金融城。图片：© Jim Linwood / CC BY 2.0，Wikimedia Commons
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