南非财政部长周三发表中期预算声明：税收意外之财改善财政展望，同日公布9月通胀数据
约翰内斯堡——南非兰特10月21日早盘基本持平，投资者在中期预算声明公布前避免大举建仓。据路透社报道，财政部长 Enoch Godongwana 定于格林尼治时间约12时发表中期预算政策声明，预计将提供南非财政走向与信用评级前景的新线索。
经济学家预计，Godongwana 将呈现改善的财政展望：一笔税收意外之财正助力南非重夺投资级信用评级。但创纪录的燃料价格、疲弱的经济增长，以及11月4日地方政府选举前的支出压力，可能限制财政部能节省的意外之财规模。
南非统计局同日将公布9月消费者通胀与8月零售销售数据。路透社调查的经济学家预计，9月总体通胀率将从8月的4.4%升至4.7%；Investec 预测为4.6%，Nedbank 预测为4.8%，理由是燃料价格上涨与兰特走弱推高了运输成本。零售销售年增速预计从7月的3.4%升至8月的3.5%。
周三0542 GMT，兰特兑美元报16.4075，与周二收盘价基本持平；兰特9月兑美元累计下跌超过2%。
South Africa Awaits Medium-Term Budget Statement as Revenue Windfall Improves Fiscal Outlook
JOHANNESBURG — The South African rand was little changed in early trade on October 21 as investors avoided large positions ahead of the medium-term budget review. Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana is due to deliver the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement at around 1200 GMT, expected to provide clues on the country's fiscal outlook and credit-rating prospects, Reuters reported.
Economists expect Godongwana to present an improved fiscal outlook, with a revenue windfall bolstering a push to regain an investment-grade credit rating. But record-high fuel prices, weak economic growth and pressure to spend ahead of November 4 local government elections could limit how much of the windfall the Treasury saves.
Statistics South Africa is also set to release September consumer inflation and August retail sales data on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters expect headline inflation to accelerate to 4.7 percent in September from 4.4 percent in August, citing higher transport costs from rising fuel prices and rand weakness; Investec forecasts 4.6 percent and Nedbank 4.8 percent. Annual retail sales growth is forecast to edge up to 3.5 percent in August from 3.4 percent in July.
At 0542 GMT the rand traded at 16.4075 against the dollar, little changed from Tuesday's close. The rand fell more than 2 percent against the dollar in September.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：南非比勒陀利亚联合大厦。图片：© Ruby D-Brown / CC BY 4.0，Wikimedia Commons
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