韩国财政部长：今年经济增长或达3.5%左右 OECD 已上调预测至3.7%
据 Aju Press 10月19日报道，韩国副总理兼财政部长 Lee Hyung-il 表示，韩国经济今年增速可能在3.5%左右，高于政府此前约3%的预估，并有助于提升增长潜力。他在曼谷出席国际货币基金组织—世界银行年会及二十国集团、七国集团财长与央行行长会议期间对记者说：「我会说3.4%、3.5%或3.6%。」
经济合作与发展组织（OECD）近期已把韩国今年增长预测上调至3.7%，并预计2027年放缓至2.6%。韩国银行（央行）8月把2026年增长预测上调至3.3%，理由是半导体出口与投资强劲，同时提醒前景对芯片周期与地缘政治变化敏感。
韩国经济第一季度环比增长1.8%，第二季度环比增长0.6%、同比增长3.7%。Lee Hyung-il 说，出口与设备投资的强势延续到第三季度，可能延续至明年，因为芯片供应仍低于需求。
Korea's Growth Could Reach About 3.5% This Year, Finance Minister Says; OECD Raised Forecast to 3.7%
South Korea's economy could grow around 3.5% this year, beating the government's earlier estimate of about 3%, Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Lee Hyung-il said, according to Aju Press on October 19. 'I would say 3.4, 3.5, or 3.6 percent,' he told reporters in Bangkok on the sidelines of the IMF–World Bank Annual Meetings and meetings of G20 and G7 finance ministers and central bank governors.
The OECD recently upgraded its Korea growth estimate to 3.7% for this year, projecting a slowdown to 2.6% in 2027. The Bank of Korea in August raised its 2026 growth forecast to 3.3%, pointing to strong semiconductor exports and investment, while warning the outlook remained sensitive to the chip cycle and geopolitical developments.
Korea's economy expanded 1.8% from the previous quarter in the first quarter and 0.6% in the second, with second-quarter GDP 3.7% higher than a year earlier. Lee said exports and facility investment staying strong into the third quarter could extend to next year, as chip supply remains below demand.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：图：首尔汉江沿岸天际线。来源：Wikimedia Commons，CC0 / Photo: The Seoul skyline along the Han River. Source: Wikimedia Commons, CC0
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