秘鲁总统藤森庆子支持率跌至28.3% 经济与治安评价下滑、厄尔尼诺预期升温
秘鲁总统藤森庆子的支持率在10月初跌至28.3%，较上月下降14.5个百分点。AtlasIntel为彭博新闻进行的LatAm Pulse调查显示，其不支持率升至53.6%，上升约13个百分点。藤森庆子于7月底就任总统，这是她第四次参选后以微弱优势赢得决选的结果，她曾承诺在这个十年间换了九位领导人的国家恢复秩序。
调查显示，62%的秘鲁人认为经济状况差，认为好的占22%；认为就业市场疲弱的比例为64%。三项指标较上月均有所恶化，在该地区最大经济体中，只有阿根廷的经济情绪比秘鲁更差。
分析认为，悲观预期与厄尔尼诺预报恶化有关：这一现象预计将成为有记录以来最强之一，秘鲁央行已将2026年经济增长预测下调至3.2%，厄尔尼诺正影响农业与渔业并推高通胀，通胀率已连续七个月超过3%的目标上限。（GSM 据彭博新闻及AtlasIntel调查报道）
Peru President Fujimori's Approval Falls to 28.3% Amid Economic and Crime Concerns
The approval rating of Peruvian President Keiko Fujimori fell to 28.3% in early October, down 14.5 percentage points from the previous month, according to LatAm Pulse, a survey conducted by AtlasIntel for Bloomberg News. Disapproval rose to 53.6%, up about 13 points. Fujimori took office at the end of July after narrowly winning a runoff in her fourth bid for the presidency, having promised to restore order in a country that has had nine leaders in a decade.
Nearly two-thirds of Peruvians, 62%, consider the economy to be poor, compared with 22% who consider it good, and 64% said the job market is weak. All three indicators worsened from the previous month, and only Argentina shows worse economic sentiment than Peru among the region's largest economies, according to AtlasIntel.
The gloomier outlook likely reflects a worsening El Niño forecast, with the phenomenon projected to be the strongest ever recorded. Peru's central bank has cut its 2026 growth forecast to 3.2% as El Niño affects agriculture and fishing while fueling inflation, which has surpassed the 3% target ceiling for seven consecutive months. (GSM, based on Bloomberg News and AtlasIntel survey reporting)
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：利马武器广场总统卫队。 Photo by Diego Delso, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0.
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