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AP-NORC民调:停摆归责42%指特朗普与共和党、38%指民主党 特朗普经济支持率降至32%

2026-10-16 · 白宫 · GSM News
AP-NORC民调:停摆归责42%指特朗普与共和党、38%指民主党 特朗普经济支持率降至32%

美联社与NORC公共事务研究中心10月16日公布的最新民调显示,联邦政府停摆进入第三周之际,42%的美国成年人认为特朗普总统与国会共和党人应对停摆负责,38%认为应归咎于国会民主党人,两方差距不大。这项调查于10月9日至13日进行,共访问1,289名成年人,抽样误差为正负3.6个百分点。

分开来看,55%的受访者认为特朗普对停摆负有「很多」或「一些」责任,认为国会共和党人负有同等责任的为54%,认为国会民主党人负有同等责任的为52%,三方均被过半数受访者点名。特朗普处理经济的支持率降至32%,低于今年3月的41%。密歇根州的共和党选民马克·施奈德对美联社表示:「共和党占多数,他们基本上可以为所欲为。」

民调还显示,约六成受访者支持延长即将到期的《平价医疗法案》医保补贴——这正是民主党在拨款谈判中的核心诉求,民主党把竞选信息集中在补贴到期将推高保费这一点上;共和党方面则主张先以现有水平通过短期拨款。密歇根州立大学政治学教授马特·格罗斯曼分析称,停摆持续越久,公众归责越可能发生变化。联邦政府自10月1日起停摆,目前已进入第三周。

(来源:美联社报道及AP-NORC公共事务研究中心民调)

AP-NORC Poll: 42% Blame Trump and Republicans for Shutdown, 38% Blame Democrats; Trump's Economic Approval Falls to 32%

A new AP-NORC poll released on October 16 found that, as the federal government shutdown entered its third week, 42% of U.S. adults said President Trump and congressional Republicans were responsible for the shutdown, while 38% blamed congressional Democrats — a narrow gap. The survey was conducted October 9–13 among 1,289 adults, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

Asked about each party separately, 55% said Trump bore 'a lot' or 'some' responsibility, 54% said the same of congressional Republicans, and 52% said the same of congressional Democrats. Approval of Trump's handling of the economy fell to 32%, down from 41% in March. Marc Schneider, a Republican voter in Michigan, told the AP: 'The Republicans have the majority, and they basically can do what they want.'

About six in ten respondents supported extending the expiring Affordable Care Act health insurance subsidies — the Democrats' central demand in the funding talks, with the party focusing its message on premium increases if the subsidies lapse. Republicans have pushed to pass short-term funding at current levels first. Matt Grossmann, a political science professor at Michigan State University, said public blame could shift the longer the shutdown lasts. The federal government has been shut down since October 1.

Source: Associated Press reporting, October 16, and the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll release.

来源:美联社、AP-NORC公共事务研究中心

发布:GSM·美国(发布链接)

图片来源:美国国会大厦圆顶(资料图)。Adam Jones 摄,CC BY-SA 2.0,Wikimedia Commons。

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