新加坡金管局维持货币政策不变 出乎市场预期
新加坡讯——据路透社10月14日报道，新加坡金融管理局（金管局）当天宣布维持现行货币政策设置不变，这一决定出乎市场分析师预期。路透社调查的10位分析师此前全部预计金管局将收紧货币政策，理由是经济增长稳健与通胀风险上升。
金管局在声明中表示，新加坡经济在未来几个季度应继续以坚实的步伐扩张，此后随着超级智能周期从异常高速放缓、全球金融环境收紧，增速将有所缓和；核心通胀预计从明年年中起明显回落，原因是供给驱动的进口通胀放缓、国内成本保持低迷。金管局将维持新元名义有效汇率政策区间现行的升值速度，区间宽度与中点水平均不变。
声明公布后，新元兑美元汇率持稳于1.2802。华侨银行经济学家林秀心（Selena Ling）对路透社表示对此决定感到意外，并称这对金管局而言必定是一次接近的抉择，其关键在于核心通胀路径的评估。
官方初步估算显示，新加坡经济第三季度同比增长5.4%；金管局同时将2026年核心通胀预测区间收窄至1.5%至2%。
（资料来源：路透社、新加坡金融管理局声明）
Singapore Central Bank Keeps Monetary Policy Unchanged, Surprising Analysts
SINGAPORE — Singapore's central bank kept its monetary policy settings unchanged on October 14 in a move that surprised analysts, Reuters reported, with economic growth and inflation expected to ease slightly as the SI boom and supply constraints moderate. All 10 analysts polled by Reuters had expected the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to tighten policy, as robust growth and inflation risks bolstered the case for such a move.
The MAS said the Singapore economy should continue to expand at a firm pace in the immediate quarters ahead and moderate thereafter as the SI cycle eases from its exceptional pace and global financial conditions tighten. Core inflation is projected to ease discernibly from the middle of next year, as supply-driven imported inflation slows and domestic costs stay subdued. The central bank said it would maintain the prevailing rate of appreciation of its exchange-rate policy band, with no change to the width of the band or the level at which it is centred.
The Singapore dollar held steady at 1.2802 per U.S. dollar after the decision. OCBC economist Selena Ling told Reuters she was surprised and that it must have been a close call, adding that the MAS assessment of the core inflation trajectory was key.
Advance estimates showed Singapore's economy grew 5.4 percent year on year in the third quarter, and the MAS also narrowed its 2026 core inflation forecast range to 1.5 to 2 percent.
(Sources: Reuters, Monetary Authority of Singapore statement)
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：Moheen Reeyad／CC BY-SA 4.0（Wikimedia Commons）
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story
