AAA 感恩节出行预测 8150万人将离家50英里以上 11月24日至30日为出行期
美国汽车协会 AAA 发布2026年感恩节出行预测：11月24日星期二至11月30日星期一的节日期间，全美预计有8150万人离家至少50英里出行。这一数字比去年的8160万人略低，降幅约0.1%，相当于少约12.1万人，也终结了自2023年开始的连续三年感恩节出行创新高纪录。
自驾仍是绝对主力。AAA 预计驾车出行人数为7290万人，比去年的7310万人减少约20万人。AAA 表示，今年8月、9月、10月汽油价格连续创下月度新高是人数小幅回落的原因之一，并指出感恩节当天的全国平均油价历史上从未超过每加仑4美元，此前最高纪录是2022年的3.58美元。
航空出行同样小幅下降。AAA 预计国内航班旅客为596万人次，比去年减少0.2%。
增长出现在其他方式上。选择巴士、火车与邮轮出行的人数预计达到260万人，比去年增长4.1%，是今年预测中唯一明显上升的类别。
目的地方面，AAA 的预订数据显示 Orlando 位列国内感恩节目的地前列，佛罗里达州多座城市持续热门。
这份预测由 AAA 与 S&P Global Market Intelligence 合作完成，于10月12日当周编制，采用与2019年以来相同的七天统计口径，统计的是人次而非人数。
AAA Projects 81.5 Million Thanksgiving Travelers for November 24 to 30 Holiday Period
AAA has released its 2026 Thanksgiving travel forecast, projecting that 81.5 million Americans will travel at least 50 miles from home between Tuesday, November 24, and Monday, November 30. The figure is slightly below last year's 81.6 million, a decline of about 0.1%, or roughly 121,000 fewer travelers, ending a three-year streak of record Thanksgiving travel that began in 2023.
Driving remains the dominant mode by far. AAA projects 72.9 million people will travel by car, down from 73.1 million last year, a decrease of about 200,000. AAA attributed the dip in part to record-high monthly gas prices in August, September and October, noting that the national average price on Thanksgiving Day has never exceeded $4 per gallon, with the previous high of $3.58 set in 2022.
Air travel is also slightly lower. AAA projects 5.96 million travelers will take domestic flights, a decrease of 0.2% from last year.
Growth is concentrated in other modes. About 2.6 million Americans are projected to travel by bus, train or cruise, an increase of 4.1% from last year and the only category with a clear rise in this year's forecast.
On destinations, AAA booking data places Orlando among the most popular domestic Thanksgiving destinations, with several Florida cities remaining in high demand.
The forecast was prepared the week of October 12 in cooperation with S&P Global Market Intelligence, using the same seven-day holiday period applied since 2019. The figures are reported in person-trips.
来源：美国汽车协会
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：Miami 市区 Interstate 95 公路上的车流。作者：B137，CC0，维基共享资源。 / Photo: Traffic on Interstate 95 in Miami. Credit: B137, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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