小特朗普结束与预测市场公司Kalshi的付费顾问关系：其投资公司已入股竞争对手Polymarket，民主党放话深查特朗普家族生意
彭博社11月12日报道，小特朗普已不再担任受联邦监管的预测市场公司 Kalshi 的付费战略顾问。他于2025年1月、即其父第二次就职前加入该公司，报酬包含公司股权。
Kalshi 发言人 Dani Lever 表示：「在他的公司今年夏天对一家竞争对手作了重大投资之后，我们共同同意结束 Don 的顾问职务。」所指的竞争对手是 Polymarket：小特朗普的投资公司 1789 Capital 于2025年8月首次投资 Polymarket，今年夏天又追加投资，他本人加入了 Polymarket 的顾问委员会，并继续担任该职。
时机上，民主党刚在11月3日中期选举中赢下参众两院。候任众议院监督委员会民主党领袖 Robert Garcia 已把特朗普家族生意列为调查优先事项，并喊话政府「请好律师」；预计明年1月出任参议院银行委员会主席的参议员 Elizabeth Warren 与参议员 Jeff Merkley 此前要求白宫在11月23日前就小特朗普与预测市场的关系作出说明。
需要分清的是：Kalshi 方面给出的离职原因是投资竞争对手造成的利益冲突，并称属双方共同决定；民主党调查的压力是这一宣布的背景，尚无证据显示是离职的直接原因。
关联：候任众议院监督委员会主席 Robert Garcia 公布调查议程：首项调查指向特朗普家族生意
（来源：彭博社）
Donald Trump Jr. Ends Paid Advisory Role at Prediction Market Kalshi: His Firm Invested in Rival Polymarket as Democrats Vow Probes of the Trump Family Business
Bloomberg reported on November 12 that Donald Trump Jr. is no longer a paid strategic adviser to Kalshi, the federally regulated prediction-market company he joined in January 2025, just before his father's second inauguration. His compensation had included Kalshi equity.
Kalshi spokesperson Dani Lever said: "We have mutually agreed to end Don's advisory role after his firm's significant investment in a competitor this past summer." The competitor is Polymarket: Trump Jr.'s firm 1789 Capital first invested in Polymarket in August 2025 and increased the investment this past summer, and he joined Polymarket's advisory board, a role he keeps.
The timing follows the Democrats' capture of both chambers in the November 3 midterms. Representative Robert Garcia, the incoming top Democrat on the House Oversight Committee, has named the Trump family business an investigative priority and told the administration to "lawyer up"; Senator Elizabeth Warren, expected to chair the Senate Banking Committee from January, and Senator Jeff Merkley had demanded answers from the White House by November 23 on Trump Jr.'s prediction-market ties.
The distinction matters: Kalshi attributes the departure to the conflict created by the rival investment and calls it a mutual decision; Democratic investigative pressure is the backdrop to the announcement, and there is no evidence it was the direct cause.
Related: 候任众议院监督委员会主席 Robert Garcia 公布调查议程：首项调查指向特朗普家族生意
(Source: Bloomberg)
来源：彭博社
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：小特朗普在 AmericaFest 2025 活动上（资料图）。照片 CC BY-SA 4.0，作者 Xuthoria，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: Donald Trump Jr. at AmericaFest 2025 (file photo). CC BY-SA 4.0, by Xuthoria, via Wikimedia Commons.
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