POLITICO选后民调：三分之二美国人认为特朗普在共和党内影响力下降，53%把共和党丢掉国会两院归咎于他
华盛顿消息，POLITICO 11月11日公布其选后民调结果：三分之二的美国人认为，在共和党中期选举大败之后，总统特朗普在共和党内的影响力至少已有所下降。这项由 PF Global 在选举日后为 POLITICO 进行的民调首次刊于 POLITICO 的 Playbook PM 简报，是选后第一批系统性测量特朗普党内地位变化的调查之一。
分党派看，民主党中期选举选民中有83%认为特朗普已失去至少一部分影响力，共和党中期选举选民中也有57%持相同看法。相对看法最集中的一项是：43%的受访者认为他「失去了一部分影响力，但仍有相当大的影响力」；在自认 MAGA 的特朗普选民中，只有40%认为他的影响力与此前一样大。
对于共和党为何丢掉国会两院，53%的美国人归因于特朗普就任总统以来的所作所为，其中包括33%的 MAGA 受访者。按 POLITICO 汇总的选举结果，民主党已赢得至少255个众议院席位、54个参议院席位与28个州长职位。
被问及民主党获胜的原因时，受访者最常选的是生活成本（42%），其次是对伊朗的战争（30%）与特朗普的个人行为（27%）。一半受访者表示，若不是特朗普发动对伊朗的战争，民主党要么会落败、要么只会以更小优势获胜；52%的受访者把这场战争列为特朗普第二任期最大的失败之一。
随着特朗普进入任期最后两年、面对民主党控制的国会，共和党内部正在寻找2028年的接班人选。民调显示，多数共和党人仍不愿公开指责特朗普，但选民已把中期选举失利的主要责任算在他身上。
POLITICO Post-Election Poll: Two-Thirds Say Trump Has Lost Power in the GOP, 53% Blame Him for Republican Losses in Congress
Washington — POLITICO released post-election polling on November 11 showing that two-thirds of Americans say President Donald Trump has lost at least some of his power within the Republican Party since the party's steep midterm losses. The survey, conducted by PF Global for POLITICO after Election Day and reported first in POLITICO's Playbook PM, is among the first to measure how Trump's standing inside his own party has shifted after the vote.
By party, 83% of Democratic midterm voters and 57% of Republican midterm voters said Trump has lost at least some power. The single most common view, held by 43% of respondents, was that he has "lost some of his power but he still has a considerable amount." Among self-identified MAGA Trump voters, his most loyal base, just 40% said he has just as much power as before.
Asked why Republicans lost, 53% of Americans said the party lost both chambers of Congress because of Trump's actions since becoming president, including 33% of MAGA respondents. In the results tallied by POLITICO, Democrats won at least 255 House seats, 54 Senate seats and 28 governors' mansions.
Asked what explained the Democratic win, respondents most often cited the cost of living (42%), followed by the war with Iran (30%) and Trump's personal conduct (27%). Half of Americans said Democrats would have either lost or won by smaller margins had the president not started the war with Iran, and 52% said it was among the biggest failures of Trump's second term.
As Trump approaches his final two years in the White House facing a Democratic-controlled Congress, Republicans are searching for a leader to take up his mantle in 2028. Most Republicans remain reluctant to publicly point the finger at Trump, but the polling shows voters are blaming him for the midterm drubbing.
来源：POLITICO
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：位于华盛顿的美国国会大厦。照片：Noclip 摄，公共领域，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: The United States Capitol in Washington. Photo by Noclip, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.
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