美国农业部下调玉米产量预测至159亿蒲式耳 大豆产量45.7亿蒲式耳创历史新高
美国农业部（USDA）国家农业统计局（NASS）11月10日中午在华盛顿发布11月《作物产量》报告：2026年美国玉米产量预测为159亿蒲式耳，较上次预测下调1%，较2025年减少6%；大豆产量预测为45.7亿蒲式耳，创历史新高。
玉米方面，报告预计今年美国玉米总产量为159亿蒲式耳，若实现，将是历史第二高产量。玉米平均单产预计为每英亩179.6蒲式耳，较上次预测低1.6蒲式耳，较去年低6.9蒲式耳；收获面积预计为8,850.6万英亩。
大豆方面，产量预测为45.7亿蒲式耳，较上次预测略有上调，较去年增加7%，刷新历史纪录。大豆平均单产预计为每英亩53.3蒲式耳，同样创历史新高，较上次预测高0.2蒲式耳，较去年高0.3蒲式耳。
棉花方面，全部棉花产量预测为1,320万包（每包480磅），较上次预测下调2%，较去年减少5%；平均单产预计为每收获英亩775磅。
这份报告由农业统计委员会主席 Lance Honig 签发，农业部长 Brooke L. Rollins 列名。国家农业统计局表示，本次预测依据收获完成前收集的调查信息作出，最终产量仍可能变化；按九成置信区间测算，玉米最终产量可能落在155亿至163亿蒲式耳之间，大豆可能落在44.3亿至47.1亿蒲式耳之间。（来源：美国农业部）
USDA Cuts Corn Production Forecast to 15.9 Billion Bushels as Soybean Crop Hits Record 4.57 Billion
The National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) of the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released its November Crop Production report in Washington at noon on November 10. The report forecasts 2026 U.S. corn production at 15.9 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the previous forecast and down 6 percent from 2025, while soybean production is forecast at a record-high 4.57 billion bushels.
For corn, production is forecast at 15.9 billion bushels, which, if realized, would be the second-highest on record. The average corn yield is forecast at 179.6 bushels per acre, down 1.6 bushels from the previous forecast and down 6.9 bushels from last year, with harvested area expected at 88.5 million acres.
For soybeans, production is forecast at 4.57 billion bushels, up slightly from the previous forecast and up 7 percent from last year, a new record high. The average soybean yield is forecast at a record 53.3 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bushel from the previous forecast and up 0.3 bushel from 2025.
All cotton production is forecast at 13.2 million 480-pound bales, down 2 percent from the previous forecast and down 5 percent from 2025, with an average yield of 775 pounds per harvested acre.
The report was issued under Agricultural Statistics Board Chair Lance Honig, with Secretary of Agriculture Brooke L. Rollins named in the report. NASS noted that the forecasts are based on information collected before harvest was complete and that final production may vary; at the 90 percent confidence level, final corn production could range from 15.5 billion to 16.3 billion bushels and soybeans from 4.43 billion to 4.71 billion bushels. (Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture)
来源：美国农业部
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：印第安纳州一处农场的大豆收获作业，两台联合收割机正在大豆田中收割（美国农业部图，经 Wikimedia Commons，公共领域） / Soybean harvest at a farm in Indiana, with two combines working a soybean field (USDA photo via Wikimedia Commons, public domain)
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