韩国明年小学一年级入学人数预计跌破30万：为1964年有统计以来首次
首尔 — 韩联社11月8日报道，韩国统计信息服务（KOSIS）与韩国教育开发院（KEDI）汇总的数据显示，韩国2027学年进入小学一年级的儿童人数预计将跌破30万，为1964年开始统计以来首次跌破这一关口，距跌破40万仅过去三年。
这一届入学儿童主要出生于2020年。韩国数据统计部门的数据显示，2020年韩国出生人口为272,337人，比2019年的302,676人减少约10%。今年（2026学年）一年级入学人数为301,442人，已是有统计以来最低。韩媒预计，2027学年实际入学人数可能在27万上下，约为1968年峰值1,055,632人的四分之一。
韩国一年级入学人数近年连年下滑：2022年431,509人、2023年401,907人、2024年353,828人、2025年324,079人。数据预计入学人数将继续减少至2030年，但随着2024年出生人口回升，预计仍将保持在20万以上。入学人数持续萎缩，正引发韩国社会对偏远地区学校关闭、地区教育差距与教育财政效率的讨论。
（来源：韩联社）
South Korea's First-Grade Enrollment Expected to Fall Below 300,000 in 2027 for the First Time on Record
SEOUL — The number of children entering the first grade of elementary school in South Korea in the 2027 school year is expected to fall below 300,000 for the first time since records began in 1964, Yonhap News Agency reported on November 8, citing data compiled by the Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS) and the Korean Educational Development Institute (KEDI). The threshold would be crossed only three years after enrollment fell below 400,000.
The incoming class was born mainly in 2020, when South Korea recorded 272,337 births, down about 10 percent from 302,676 in 2019, according to the Ministry of Data and Statistics. A total of 301,442 children entered first grade this year, already the lowest figure on record. Korean media expect the actual 2027 intake to be around 270,000, roughly a quarter of the peak of 1,055,632 recorded in 1968.
First-grade enrollment has fallen year after year, from 431,509 in 2022 to 401,907 in 2023, 353,828 in 2024 and 324,079 in 2025. The figures project a further decline through 2030, though the intake is expected to stay above 200,000 as births rebounded in 2024. The shrinking cohorts are fuelling debate in South Korea over rural school closures, regional education gaps and the efficiency of education spending.
(Source: Yonhap News Agency)
来源：韩联社
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：韩国一所小学（资料图）。CC BY-SA 2.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: An elementary school in South Korea (file photo). CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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