巴西央行结束降息：卢拉连任后通胀前景恶化，基准利率维持13.75%
巴西中央银行11月4日一致决定结束连续降息，把基准利率Selic维持在13.75%，为全球主要新兴经济体中最高之列。此前该行自今年3月起连续五次各降息25个基点。
决定背景是总统卢拉（Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva）在10月25日决选中击败参议员小博索纳罗（Flavio Bolsonaro）连任后，巴西货币与股市下挫，财政前景不明。央行把今年通胀预测由5.2%上调至5.6%，2027年由3.9%上调至4.7%。
财政部长杜里甘（Dario Durigan）11月5日表示，卢拉将在本月结束土耳其与菲律宾访问回国后，再决定财政措施；巴西公共债务已升至国内生产总值的82.9%。卢拉预计周日在电视讲话中重申财政纪律承诺。
（来源：巴西中央银行）
Brazil's Central Bank Ends Run of Rate Cuts After Lula Win: Selic Held at 13.75 Percent
Brazil's central bank unanimously voted on November 4 to end a run of interest rate cuts and hold the benchmark Selic rate at 13.75 percent, one of the highest among major emerging economies, after five consecutive 25-basis-point cuts since March.
The decision followed a fall in Brazil's currency and stock market after President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's reelection victory over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the October 25 runoff, amid fiscal uncertainty ahead of Lula's fourth term. Policymakers raised their inflation forecast for this year to 5.6 percent from 5.2 percent, and for 2027 to 4.7 percent from 3.9 percent.
Finance Minister Dario Durigan said on November 5 that Lula is expected to decide on fiscal measures after returning from a trip to Turkey and the Philippines later this month. Brazil's gross debt has risen to 82.9 percent of GDP, and sources said Lula is expected to reaffirm a commitment to fiscal discipline in a televised address on Sunday.
(Source: Central Bank of Brazil)
来源：巴西中央银行
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