青年选民在中期选举大幅转向民主党：18至29岁选民65%支持民主党众议院候选人
塔夫茨大学公民学习与参与信息研究中心（CIRCLE）11月4日发布的中期选举青年选民初步分析显示，18至29岁选民在本届中期选举中大幅转向民主党：全国范围内，65%的青年选民把众议院选票投给民主党候选人，31%投给共和党候选人，民主党领先34个百分点，是该中心记录到的全国性选举中最高的青年选民优势之一。
这组数据来自 NORC 公民健康与选举项目（Civic Health & Elections Project），CIRCLE 提醒数据仍属初步统计、后续可能小幅变动。本届中期选举中，青年选民约占全部选票的11%，略低于2022年中期选举的12%。
性别差距仍然明显：69%的年轻女性支持民主党众议院候选人，年轻男性为58%。年轻男性的转向尤其引人注目——2024年大选中，56%的年轻男性曾支持特朗普总统（据 AP VoteCast 数据），本届则多数转投民主党。
按族裔看，亚太裔青年选民80%、非裔78%、拉丁裔70%支持民主党；白人青年同样以60%对36%倾向民主党，其中年轻白人男性也以10个百分点的优势支持民主党。有大学学历的青年选民69%支持民主党，无大学经历者为59%；城市县青年选民70%、郊区县61%支持民主党。
州级层面，青年选民在多场关键选战中成为重要力量：佐治亚州州长选举中70%的青年选民支持民主党候选人 Keisha Lance Bottoms，该州联邦参议员选举中71%支持 Jon Ossoff；密西西比州联邦参议员选举中76%的青年选民支持民主党候选人 Scott Colom。CIRCLE 表示将在选举周内继续更新青年选民数据。
（来源：塔夫茨大学 CIRCLE 中心）
Young Voters Swing Hard to Democrats in Midterms: 65% of Voters Aged 18-29 Back Democratic House Candidates
Young voters swung decisively toward Democrats in the 2026 midterm elections, according to preliminary analysis released on November 4 by CIRCLE, the Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tufts University. Nationally, 65% of voters aged 18 to 29 cast their U.S. House ballots for a Democratic candidate, compared with 31% for a Republican, a 34-point Democratic margin that CIRCLE says is among the highest youth-vote advantages it has ever recorded in a national election.
The figures come from the NORC Civic Health & Elections Project, and CIRCLE cautions that the data are preliminary and may shift slightly. Young voters cast about 11% of all ballots in this year's midterms, slightly below their 12% share in 2022.
A gender gap persists: 69% of young women backed Democratic House candidates, compared with 58% of young men. The shift among young men is notable: in the 2024 presidential election, 56% of young men supported President Donald Trump, according to AP VoteCast data, while a majority backed Democrats this cycle.
By race and ethnicity, AAPI youth supported Democrats at 80%, Black youth at 78% and Latino youth at 70%. White youth also favored Democrats 60% to 36%, and young white men backed Democrats by a 10-point margin. Young voters with a college degree supported Democrats at 69%, compared with 59% among those without college experience; youth in urban counties backed Democrats at 70% and those in suburban counties at 61%.
At the state level, young voters were a major force in several close races: 70% of Georgia youth backed Democratic gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms and 71% backed Jon Ossoff in the state's U.S. Senate race, while 76% of Mississippi youth supported Democratic Senate candidate Scott Colom. CIRCLE says it will keep updating its youth vote analysis through Election Week.
(Source: CIRCLE at Tufts University)
来源：塔夫茨大学 CIRCLE 中心
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：选民在投票站的投票隔间填写选票（资料图）。Phil Roeder 摄，CC BY 2.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: A voting booth at a U.S. polling place (file photo). Photo by Phil Roeder, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story
