金价大涨约3%重上每盎司4000美元：民主党赢下中期选举后美元走软
11月4日，国际金价大涨，现货黄金重上每盎司4000美元。民主党在11月3日举行的中期选举中夺回参议院与众议院控制权后，美元走软、美国国债收益率下跌，资金流向黄金。
截至格林尼治时间12时34分，现货黄金涨3%，报每盎司4046.74美元，盘中一度升至4050.99美元，为10月29日以来最高水平，有望创下8月19日以来最大单日涨幅。美国12月交割的黄金期货涨2.9%，报每盎司4054.60美元。当天早盘，现货黄金已涨2.2%至每盎司4016.01美元。
Pepperstone 研究主管 Chris Weston 表示，美元走弱，加上美国国债名义收益率与实际收益率明显下跌，显然在为黄金提供支撑。美元指数当天跌约0.6%至101.27附近，为约一个月来的低点；全球股市同日普遍下挫。
利率预期方面，芝加哥商品交易所的 FedWatch 工具显示，交易员认为美联储在12月加息的概率约为八成。市场接下来的关注点，是定于周五公布的美国非农就业报告，该数据可能为美联储的政策路径提供新的线索。
世界黄金协会11月3日表示，各国央行与官方机构今年第三季度净购入黄金321吨，同比增加42%，为2024年第四季度以来的最高季度水平；实物支持的黄金交易所交易基金持仓则升至4256吨的历史纪录。
Gold Jumps About 3% Back Above $4,000 an Ounce as the Dollar Slides After the Democrats' Midterm Sweep
Gold prices surged on November 4, with spot gold climbing back above $4,000 an ounce. After Democrats regained control of both the Senate and the House in the November 3 midterm elections, the U.S. dollar softened and Treasury yields fell, drawing money into bullion.
By 1234 GMT, spot gold was up 3% at $4,046.74 an ounce, having earlier hit $4,050.99, its highest level since October 29, and was on track for its biggest daily gain since August 19. U.S. gold futures for December delivery rose 2.9% to $4,054.60. Earlier in the session, spot gold had already climbed 2.2% to $4,016.01 by 0619 GMT.
Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said a weaker dollar and a sharp decline in both nominal and real U.S. Treasury yields were clearly providing support for gold. The dollar index fell about 0.6% to around 101.27, its lowest level in roughly a month, while global stocks slumped the same day.
On the rate outlook, CME's FedWatch tool showed traders pricing in a roughly 80% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in December. Markets are now looking ahead to the U.S. non-farm payrolls report due on Friday for fresh clues on the Fed's policy path.
The World Gold Council said on November 3 that central banks and other official institutions bought a net 321 tonnes of gold in the third quarter, up 42% year over year and the highest quarterly total since the fourth quarter of 2024, while holdings in physically backed gold exchange-traded funds rose to a record 4,256 tonnes.
来源：路透社
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：金条资料图。CC0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: Gold bullion bars, file photo. CC0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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