肯尼亚：世界银行上调2026年增长预期至4.6% 并敦促打击腐败 称腐败与串通每年耗损约2% GDP
世界银行11月4日表示，肯尼亚政府应着力打击腐败以提振经济增长与居民收入；世行在其最新一期半年刊《肯尼亚经济更新》报告中，把肯尼亚今年经济增长预期由4.3%上调至4.6%，理由是上半年增长强于预期。
世行说，肯尼亚2014年起按世行分类成为中低收入国家，但在广泛使用的治理指标上落后于同侪；腐败与串通通过推高财政赤字等渠道，估计每年耗损该国约2%的国内生产总值。国际货币基金组织今年6月表示，应内罗毕方面的请求，其已向肯尼亚政府分享了一份旨在标示治理弱点与腐败脆弱性的诊断报告草案。
世行同时提示，肯尼亚将于明年8月举行大选，这可能增加不确定性、抑制投资与旅游，并加大支出压力。报告把治理改革列为肯尼亚把增长势头转化为收入提升的关键条件之一。
（来源：世界银行）
Kenya: World Bank Raises 2026 Growth Forecast to 4.6 Percent and Urges Action on Graft, Estimating Corruption and Collusion Cost About 2 Percent of GDP a Year
Kenya's government should tackle corruption to boost economic growth and raise incomes, the World Bank said on November 4, as it raised its growth forecast for this year to 4.6 percent, from an earlier forecast of 4.3 percent, citing faster-than-projected growth in the first six months of the year. The forecast appears in the latest edition of the lender's biannual Kenya Economic Update report.
The East African nation became a lower-middle-income country in 2014 under the World Bank's classification, but has lagged its peers on widely used measures of governance, the lender said. Corruption and collusion cost the country an estimated 2 percent of GDP a year through higher fiscal deficits, the World Bank said. The International Monetary Fund said in June it had shared a draft report designed to flag governance weaknesses and corruption vulnerabilities with the Kenyan government, following a request from Nairobi to look into the issue.
The World Bank also noted that Kenya will hold a general election in August next year, which could increase uncertainty, curb investment and tourism and add to spending pressures. The report identifies governance reform as one of the key conditions for Kenya to turn its growth momentum into higher incomes.
来源：世界银行
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：照片：从内罗毕国家公园望向肯尼亚内罗毕天际线，Shadychiri 摄，Wikimedia Commons，CC BY 4.0 授权 / Photo: Nairobi skyline seen from Nairobi National Park, Kenya, by Shadychiri, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 4.0
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