佛蒙特州州长选战终盘民调：Janoo 以51%对43%领先州长 Scott
新罕布什尔大学调查中心公布的佛蒙特州终盘民调显示，民主党与进步党州长候选人 Amanda Janoo 以51%对43%领先现任共和党州长 Phil Scott，领先8个百分点。这项“绿山州民调”于10月27日至31日在线进行，访问1231名受访者，可能选民中51%表示将投票或已投票给 Janoo，43%支持 Scott，另有4%支持独立候选人 Brian Judd；误差范围为正负2.8个百分点。民调同时显示，62%的可能选民认为 Scott 最终会赢得选举。
9月下旬同一机构的民调曾显示 Janoo 以49%对43%领先，其后佛蒙特公共电台的民调一度显示 Scott 领先10个百分点，另一家机构10月27日公布的民调则显示 Scott 领先3个百分点，各家数字波动较大。
同一民调还显示，副州长竞选中，曾于2021年至2023年担任该职的民主党挑战者 Molly Gray 以63%对34%大幅领先现任共和党副州长 John Rodgers；联邦众议员 Becca Balint 以66%对31%领先共和党提名人 Gerald Malloy。截至10月30日上午，近14万佛蒙特州选民已交回选票；投票站将于11月3日选举日晚7时关闭，两名州长候选人选前仍在全州做最后冲刺。
（来源：新罕布什尔大学调查中心）
Final Vermont Poll: Janoo Leads Governor Scott 51% to 43% in the Governor's Race
The University of New Hampshire Survey Center's final Vermont poll shows Democratic/Progressive gubernatorial candidate Amanda Janoo leading incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott 51% to 43%, an eight-point edge. The Green Mountain State Poll was conducted online October 27-31 among 1,231 respondents; among likely voters, 51% said they will or have voted for Janoo and 43% for Scott, with 4% backing independent Brian Judd, and a margin of error of 2.8 points. The survey also found 62% of likely voters expect Scott to win.
An earlier UNH poll in late September had Janoo ahead 49% to 43%, while a subsequent Vermont Public poll put Scott up 10 points and an October 27 State Navigate poll put Scott up 3, showing wide variation among pollsters.
The same poll gives Democratic challenger Molly Gray, who held the lieutenant governorship from 2021 to 2023, a 63%-34% lead over Republican incumbent Lt. Gov. John Rodgers, and U.S. Rep. Becca Balint a 66%-31% lead over Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. As of Friday morning, nearly 140,000 Vermonters had returned ballots; polls close at 7 p.m. on November 3, and both gubernatorial candidates were still campaigning statewide in the final stretch.
(Source: University of New Hampshire Survey Center)
来源：新罕布什尔大学调查中心
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：佛蒙特州州长 Phil Scott（左）在办公室会见来宾。US Embassy Canada 摄，CC BY 2.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: Vermont Governor Phil Scott, left, meets a guest in his office. By US Embassy Canada, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story
