中期选举提前投票破5131万:已超2022年整个提前投票期

据佛罗里达大学选举实验室(University of Florida Election Lab)统计,截至10月31日周六下午2时30分,全美已有5131万名选民提前投下选票,超过2022年中期选举整个提前投票期的总数4590万。此时距离11月3日选举日还有三天,多州的现场提前投票与邮寄选票仍在继续。
这一轮增长主要由现场提前投票带动:已有超过2800万人亲赴投票站提前投票,而2022年整个提前投票期的现场票约为2050万。10月30日周五晚间的统计为4960万张,其中邮寄选票约2290万张、现场票约2680万张;到周六上午,总数已越过5050万。
得州是增幅最明显的州之一:已有超过700万名得州选民提前投票,比该州2022年整个提前投票期还多约150万。据美联社分析,Houston 所在的 Harris County 截至周三已有86.27万人投票,远高于2022年同期的56.45万人;南卡罗来纳州提前投票量较2022年增长83%,缅因州增长44%,堪萨斯州增长34%,密歇根州增长32%。
在有公布选民政党登记数据的约27个州中,登记为民主党的选民已投约1070万张,登记为共和党的约780万张。选举专家指出,政党登记不等于实际投票选择,提前投票总数反映的是参与程度,本身不能预测最终结果,也不能断定选举日当天的总投票率会同幅上升。
11月3日的中期选举将决定国会控制权:众议院全部435个席位与参议院35个席位改选,目前共和党在参议院以53比47占多数、在众议院握有微弱优势,任期后半程的国会格局将由周二的投票结果决定。
关联:加州投票服务指南:提前投票点已全州开放,同日登记持续至11月3日
Early Voting Tops 51.31 Million, Surpassing the Entire 2022 Early Vote Before Election Day
More than 51.31 million Americans had already voted by Saturday afternoon, October 31, surpassing the entire early-vote total of the last midterm cycle with three days still to go before Election Day on November 3, according to the University of Florida Election Lab.
The lab put the total at 51.31 million as of 2:30 p.m. on Saturday. In the whole 2022 midterm cycle, 45.9 million people voted early. In-person voting drove the increase: more than 28 million people had voted early in person, compared with about 20.5 million across the entire early-voting period in 2022. A Friday-evening count had put the total at 49.6 million, made up of about 22.9 million returned mail ballots and 26.8 million in-person votes.
Texas showed the surge most clearly, with more than seven million early votes, about 1.5 million more than in the whole 2022 cycle in the state. An Associated Press analysis found 862,700 people had voted in Harris County, which includes Houston, by Wednesday, compared with 564,500 at the same point in 2022. Early voting was up 83 percent in South Carolina, 44 percent in Maine, 34 percent in Kansas and 32 percent in Michigan compared with 2022.
In the roughly 27 states that record the party registration of early voters, registered Democrats had cast about 10.7 million ballots and registered Republicans about 7.8 million. Election experts note that party registration does not show how a person actually voted, and that early totals describe participation, not results.
Tuesday's midterm elections will decide control of Congress, with all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats contested. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 Senate majority and a narrow House edge heading into the final vote on November 3.
来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)
图片来源:图:选民在一处提前投票点排队投票(资料图,2024年10月摄于路易斯安那州 Metairie)。摄影:Infrogmation,CC BY-SA 4.0,经 Wikimedia Commons。 / File photo: Voters line up at an early voting site in Metairie, Louisiana, October 2024. Photo by Infrogmation, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story

