伊利诺伊州州长选战民调：普利兹克大幅领先贝利
2026年11月1日公布的两项民调显示，伊利诺伊州现任州长、民主党人普利兹克在寻求第三任期的竞选中大幅领先共和党挑战者贝利。ActiVote于10月22日进行的民调显示，普利兹克以58.7%对41.3%领先；公共政策民调公司10月6日公布的结果显示，普利兹克以54%对34%领先20个百分点。
政治网站270toWin综合两项民调得出平均值，普利兹克以56.5%对37.5%领先。州与地方政府关系公司MultiState虽未提供具体数字，但已将这场州长竞选评为“稳固民主党”。民调细节显示，普利兹克获得全部自认左翼选民和97%中左选民的支持，贝利则获得89%右翼选民和86%中右选民的支持。
随着11月3日选举日的临近，双方阵营都在做最后动员，但从目前公布的民调走势看，普利兹克连任的前景较为明朗，最终结果仍有待选民投票揭晓。
Polls Show Pritzker With a Large Lead Over Bailey in Illinois Governor's Race
Two polls released on November 1 show Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, a Democrat seeking a third term, with a large lead over Republican challenger Darren Bailey. An ActiVote poll conducted October 22 put Pritzker ahead 58.7% to 41.3%; a Public Policy Polling survey released October 6 showed Pritzker leading by 20 points, 54% to 34%.
The political site 270toWin averaged the two polls at 56.5% for Pritzker to 37.5% for Bailey. MultiState, a state and local government relations firm, offered no numbers but rated the governor's race "Solid D." Poll details show Pritzker winning all self-identified left voters and 97% of moderate-left voters, while Bailey holds 89% of right voters and 86% of moderate-right voters.
With Election Day on November 3 approaching, both campaigns are making their final mobilization pushes, but the published polling trend points to a clear path for Pritzker's re-election; the final result will be decided by the voters.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：伊利诺伊州州长普利兹克（资料图）。Raymond Cunningham from Homer Illinois, USA摄，CC BY-SA 2.0，经Wikimedia Commons。 / Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker (file photo). Photo by Raymond Cunningham from Homer Illinois, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story
