跟进：德国10月通胀初值回落至2.8%：环比下降0.2%，能源涨幅放缓至12.2%、核心通胀降至2.1%

德国联邦统计局（Destatis）10月30日发布10月通胀初值：消费者价格指数（CPI）同比上涨2.8%，低于9月的3.3%，也低于市场此前预期的约3.0%；消费者价格环比下降0.2%。本站今日早间已报道德国主要州的初值普遍回落，全国数据与州级口径相互印证。

回落主要来自能源涨势放缓。能源价格同比上涨12.2%，涨幅低于9月的14.9%；剔除食品与能源的核心通胀降至2.1%，同样低于9月的2.4%。食品价格同比仅涨0.4%，与9月持平。

分项看，服务价格同比上涨2.5%（9月为2.7%），商品价格上涨3.0%（9月为3.8%），商品端的降温是整体回落的主要来源。

按欧盟统一口径计算的调和消费者价格指数（HICP）10月同比上涨2.8%，环比下降0.1%。Destatis表示，以上均为初步估算，10月通胀终值定于11月11日发布。完整发布见德国联邦统计局10月通胀初值（第382号新闻稿）。

关联：德国主要州10月通胀初值普遍回落：巴伐利亚州降至2.8%、北威州降至2.7%，全国数据今日稍晚公布

关联：德国第三季度GDP增长0.2%好于预期：消费小幅回升撑住增长，资本形成下滑、出口动能明显放缓

Follow-Up: Germany Flash Inflation Eases to 2.8% in October as Energy Gains Slow and Core Rate Falls to 2.1%

Germany's Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) released its flash estimate for October inflation on October 30: the consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.8% from a year earlier, down from 3.3% in September and below market expectations of around 3.0%, while consumer prices fell 0.2% from the previous month. GSM reported earlier on Friday that flash readings from Germany's major states had eased across the board, and the national figure is consistent with those state-level readings.

The slowdown was driven mainly by energy. Energy prices were up 12.2% on the year, a slower pace than September's 14.9%, and core inflation excluding food and energy eased to 2.1% from 2.4% in September. Food prices rose just 0.4% on the year, unchanged from September.

By component, services prices rose 2.5% on the year, down from 2.7% in September, while goods prices rose 3.0%, down from 3.8%, making goods the main source of the overall easing.

The harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP), calculated for euro-area comparison, also rose 2.8% on the year and fell 0.1% on the month. Destatis said all figures are provisional and that final October results will be released on November 11. The full release is available from Destatis, inflation rate of +2.8% expected in October 2026 (press release No. 382).

Related: Inflation Eases Across Key German States in October: Bavaria Falls to 2.8%, National Figure Due Later Friday

Related: Germany GDP Grows 0.2% in Third Quarter, Beating Forecasts: Consumption Edges Up as Investment Falls and Export Momentum Fades

来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）

图片来源：图：德国 Berlin 的 Mierendorffplatz 每周农贸市集（资料图）。Benjamin Janecke 摄，CC BY-SA 3.0 DE，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / The weekly farmers market at Mierendorffplatz in Berlin, Germany (file photo). Photo by Benjamin Janecke, CC BY-SA 3.0 DE, via Wikimedia Commons.

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