德国主要州10月通胀初值普遍回落：巴伐利亚州降至2.8%、北威州降至2.7%，全国数据今日稍晚公布
据路透社10月30日报道，德国几个主要联邦州当天公布的初步数据显示，10月通胀率普遍回落，预示当天稍晚公布的德国全国通胀数据也可能下降。
分州数据为：巴伐利亚州通胀率从9月的3.2%降至2.8%；北莱茵-威斯特法伦州从3.3%降至2.7%；下萨克森州从3.3%降至2.9%；巴登-符腾堡州下降0.3个百分点至2.6%；萨克森州持平在2.8%。
路透社调查的经济学家预计，德国10月调和通胀率为3.1%，低于9月的3.3%。德国是欧元区最大的经济体，全国通胀数据将于周五稍晚发布。
报道称，伊朗战争在近几个月推高了能源价格，德国政府目前预计德国通胀率2026年为2.7%、2027年为3.0%。欧元区10月通胀率预计为3.9%，略高于9月的3.8%，数据将于周三公布。欧洲中央银行（ECB）周四维持利率不变，但明确暗示12月可能再次加息，并警告能源成本高企正在加剧通胀风险。
Inflation Eases Across Key German States in October: Bavaria Falls to 2.8%, National Figure Due Later Friday
Inflation fell in several key German states in October, preliminary data showed on Friday, suggesting Germany's national inflation rate could also decrease this month, Reuters reported on October 30.
In Bavaria, the inflation rate fell to 2.8% in October from 3.2% in September. In North Rhine-Westphalia it dipped to 2.7% from 3.3%, while in Lower Saxony it fell to 2.9% from 3.3%. Baden-Wuerttemberg saw a 0.3 percentage point fall to 2.6%, while in Saxony the inflation rate remained at 2.8%.
Economists polled by Reuters forecast a harmonised national inflation rate for Germany, the euro zone's largest economy, of 3.1% in October, down from 3.3% the previous month. The national figures will be released later on Friday.
The war in Iran has pushed up energy prices in recent months, and the German government currently expects inflation to reach 2.7% this year and 3.0% in 2027. Inflation in the euro zone is expected to come in at 3.9% in October, slightly above September's 3.8%, according to economists polled by Reuters, with the release due on Wednesday. The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged on Thursday but clearly hinted at another hike in December, warning that high and rising energy costs were fuelling inflation risks.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：图：德国巴伐利亚州首府 Munich 的食品市场 Viktualienmarkt 商铺街。Dietmar Rabich 摄，CC BY-SA 4.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / The Viktualienmarkt food market in Munich, capital of Bavaria, Germany. Photo by Dietmar Rabich, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
