得克萨斯州特拉维斯县奥斯汀市得州南方大学10月29日公布参议员民调：塔拉里科49%对帕克斯顿47%统计上打平
得克萨斯州特拉维斯县奥斯汀市消息，得州南方大学10月29日公布的最新民调显示，民主党参议员候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科以49%对47%领先共和党候选人肯·帕克斯顿，自由党候选人特德·布朗获得3%，未决定选民占1%。这项民调于10月21日至25日调查了2000名可能投票的得州选民，误差范围为正负2.19个百分点，因此塔拉里科2个百分点的优势在统计上属于打平。民调还显示，48%的可能选民对塔拉里科持好感、51%持反感；对帕克斯顿持好感的为42%，持反感的达57%。这一结果与近期其他民调趋势一致：10月22日公布的爱默生学院民调为塔拉里科48%对帕克斯顿46%，10月21日公布的库克政治报告战场民调为塔拉里科49%对帕克斯顿44%，福克斯新闻10月21日的民调则为双方49%打平。提前投票将于10月30日结束，投票日为11月3日。这项民调进行于总统特朗普本周两度赴得州为帕克斯顿站台之前，特朗普分别到访科珀斯克里斯蒂和拉伯克，塔拉里科也在拉伯克附近举行了集会。
Austin, Travis County, Texas: Texas Southern University Poll Released October 29 Shows Talarico 49%, Paxton 47% in Senate Race — a Statistical Tie
A new poll released on October 29 by Texas Southern University in Austin, Travis County, Texas, shows Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 49% to 47%, with Libertarian Ted Brown at 3% and 1% undecided. The poll surveyed 2,000 likely Texas voters from October 21 to 25, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.19 percentage points, making Talarico's two-point edge a statistical tie. The poll also found 48% of likely voters view Talarico favorably and 51% unfavorably, while 42% view Paxton favorably and 57% unfavorably. The result is consistent with other recent polls: an Emerson College poll released October 22 showed Talarico 48% to Paxton 46%; a Cook Political Report battleground poll released October 21 showed Talarico 49% to Paxton 44%; and a Fox News poll of October 21 showed the two tied at 49%. Early voting ends October 30, and Election Day is November 3. The poll was conducted before President Trump's two stops in Texas this week to campaign for Paxton, in Corpus Christi and Lubbock; Talarico also held a campaign rally a few miles from the Lubbock stop.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：资料图：奥斯汀市政厅，来源为GSM固定图库cities包
