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犹他州全州10月29日公布2026年州参议院选战最终评级:三场选战列为竞争激烈、民主党通用选票领先约9个百分点

2026-10-29 · 各州 · GSM News

犹他州政治观察机构“犹他政治观察”10月29日公布2026年犹他州参议员选战的最终评级。此时距离11月3日投票日不到一周,选票早已发到选民手中。

评级指出,今年8月时,犹他州参议员选战地图上只有一场被列为竞争激烈,而现在有三场进入竞争行列,并且自夏天以来,没有任何一场评级向共和党方向移动。民主党目前在通用国会选票上领先约9个百分点。

覆盖至10月22日的最终竞选财务报告显示出两种不同的竞选策略:由于犹他州在投票日前约三周就寄出选票,民主党方面在选民持有选票期间加大了投入。评级机构提醒,选战的最终结果仍取决于已经寄回选票的选民和投票日当天投票的选民共同决定,竞争激烈的场次越多,计票夜的不确定性也越大。

Utah Political Watch Releases Final 2026 State Senate Race Ratings on October 29: Three Races Rated Competitive as Democrats Lead the Generic Ballot by About 9 Points

Utah Political Watch, a Utah political monitoring organization, on October 29 released its final ratings for Utah's 2026 state Senate races. With Election Day on November 3 less than a week away, ballots are already in voters' hands. The ratings note that in August only one race on the Utah state Senate map was rated competitive, while three races are now in that category, and no rating has moved in the Republicans' direction since the summer. Democrats currently lead by about 9 points on the generic congressional ballot.

The final campaign finance reports, covering through October 22, show two different campaign strategies: because Utah mails out ballots about three weeks before Election Day, the Democratic side increased its spending while voters held their ballots. The ratings organization cautions that the final outcome will still be decided jointly by voters who have already returned ballots and those who vote on Election Day, and that the more competitive races there are, the greater the uncertainty on election night.

来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)

图片来源:犹他州议会大厦,位于盐湖城 / The Utah State Capitol in Salt Lake City. Photo: GyozaDumpling, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

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