跟进：塞尔维亚计票近九成七：学生名单得票52.65%领先，CeSID预测夺140席

塞尔维亚国家选举委员会（RIK）公布的计票进展显示，截至10月26日中午，全国8,392个投票站中已处理8,139个（约97%）：「学生名单」得票2,246,796张、占52.65%，总统武契奇领导的「联合塞尔维亚」名单得票1,673,607张、占39.22%，双方差距13.43个百分点。

选举委员会尚未公布正式席位分配。据自由选举与民主中心（CeSID）与益普索（Ipsos）基于约96%样本的预测，学生名单将获国民议会250席中的140席，联合塞尔维亚103席，少数族裔政党共7席（伏伊伏丁那匈牙利人联盟3席、阿尔巴尼亚人联盟2席、拉西姆·利亚伊奇名单1席、桑扎克民主行动党1席）；观察机构 CRTA 的初步评估给出学生名单136至140席的区间。赢得议会多数需要126席。

武契奇已于10月25日晚依据抽样估算承认落败。最终结果须待选举委员会完成全部计票并依法认证后公布；欧安组织民主机构与人权办公室（ODIHR）观察团定于当地时间10月26日下午在贝尔格莱德发布初步结论。

关联：跟进：武契奇承认塞尔维亚议会选举落败：学生名单预计夺135至140席，其阵营约105席

Follow-up: Serbia Count Nears 97 Percent: Student List Leads With 52.65%, CeSID Projects 140 Seats

Serbia's Republic Electoral Commission (RIK) said that by midday on October 26 it had processed 8,139 of the country's 8,392 polling stations, about 97 percent: the Student List had 2,246,796 votes, or 52.65 percent, while President Aleksandar Vucic's United Serbia list had 1,673,607 votes, or 39.22 percent — a gap of 13.43 percentage points.

The commission has not yet published an official seat allocation. A projection by the Center for Free Elections and Democracy (CeSID) and Ipsos, based on a sample of about 96 percent, gives the Student List 140 of the National Assembly's 250 seats, United Serbia 103, and minority parties seven in total (Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians three, Albanian Coalition two, the Rasim Ljajic list one and the SDA of Sandzak one). Election monitor CRTA put the Student List in a range of 136 to 140 seats. A parliamentary majority requires 126 seats.

Vucic conceded defeat on the evening of October 25 based on sampling estimates. Final results will be announced only after the commission completes the count and certifies it under the legal procedure; the OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR) observation mission is due to present its preliminary findings in Belgrade on the afternoon of October 26.

Related: Follow-up: Vucic concedes Serbia's parliamentary election (in Chinese)

来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）

图片来源：图：塞尔维亚国民议会大厦（贝尔格莱德）。照片：Kallerna，CC BY-SA 4.0，经维基共享资源。 / The House of the National Assembly of Serbia in Belgrade. Photo: Kallerna, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

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