跟进：武契奇承认塞尔维亚议会选举落败：学生名单预计夺135至140席，其阵营约105席

贝尔格莱德——塞尔维亚10月25日（周日）举行提前议会选举，领导塞尔维亚十余年的Aleksandar Vucic当晚承认落败。据路透社报道，他依据抽样估算表示，学生运动推出的「学生名单」将赢得国民议会250席中的135至140席，他领导的阵营约获105席，其余名单无人进入议会。

武契奇说：「我们还没有最终结果，但根据抽样……很明显，我们输掉了这次选举，学生名单赢了，他们将有135到140席，我们将有105席，没有其他名单进入议会。」

独立机构Ipsos与CeSID的推算与武契奇的估算接近：据《卫报》选举夜报道引用，学生名单得票率约52.0%、预计138席，武契奇阵营得票率约39.3%、预计104席；赢得议会多数需要126席。官方最终结果尚未公布，据美联社此前报道，国家选举委员会预计不早于周一公布官方计票总结果，上述席位数字仍属抽样与机构推算。

这次提前选举由武契奇于今年9月宣布，此前塞尔维亚已历经近两年的学生主导抗议：2024年，Novi Sad一座火车站的顶棚坍塌、造成16人死亡，引发针对腐败与威权主义蔓延的抗议浪潮；学生运动由此获得广泛支持，成为武契奇2014年出任总理、2017年出任总统以来面对的最大挑战。据路透社报道，武契奇已于9月27日辞去总统职务，转而竞逐总理。

学生名单共推出250名候选人，多为知名度不高的专家、运动员、农民与艺术家，由心脏病学家Ilija Srdanovic领衔，主打反腐与公共采购透明等主张；该名单方面已表示，领衔名单并不意味着Srdanovic必然出任总理。

关联：塞尔维亚10月25日举行提前议会选举：学生运动挑战Aleksandar Vucic，民调显示选情胶着

Vucic Concedes Serbia's Parliamentary Election: Student List Projected to Win 135-140 Seats Against His Camp's 105

BELGRADE — Serbia held a snap parliamentary election on Sunday, October 25, and Aleksandar Vucic, who has led the country for more than a decade, conceded defeat that night. According to Reuters, Vucic said that based on a sample it was clear his camp had lost: the student-led Student List would win between 135 and 140 of the National Assembly's 250 seats, his own camp about 105, and no other list would enter parliament.

"We still do not have final results, on the basis of a sample ... it is clear that we have lost these elections, the Student List has won, they will have between 135 and 140 seats and we will have 105, no one else has entered parliament," Vucic said.

An independent Ipsos/CeSID projection reported by The Guardian on election night put the Student List at about 52.0% of the vote and 138 seats, against about 39.3% and 104 seats for Vucic's camp; a parliamentary majority requires 126 seats. Final official results have not been released, and the Associated Press has reported that the state election commission is not expected to publish the official tally before Monday, so the seat figures remain sample-based estimates.

The snap election was called by Vucic in September after almost two years of student-led demonstrations, triggered by the deaths of 16 people when a train station canopy collapsed in the city of Novi Sad in 2024, amid protests against perceived corruption and creeping authoritarianism. The students gained widespread support to become the greatest threat to Vucic since he first became prime minister in 2014 and then president in 2017. According to Reuters, Vucic resigned as president on September 27 to run again for prime minister.

The Student List fielded 250 candidates, mostly little-known experts, athletes, farmers and artists, headed by cardiologist Ilija Srdanovic, campaigning on anti-corruption and transparent public procurement; the list has said that heading it does not necessarily mean Srdanovic would become prime minister.

来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）

图片来源：塞尔维亚领导人Aleksandar Vucic（左）2026年2月访问哈萨克斯坦时抵达Astana（资料图）。图：哈萨克斯坦共和国政府新闻局，CC BY 4.0，经维基共享资源。 / Serbian leader Aleksandar Vucic (left) arriving in Astana during a February 2026 visit to Kazakhstan (file photo). Photo: Press Service of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

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