跟进:巴西选举法院宣布Lula赢得总统决选:已计99.86%区段得票51.76%,领先Flávio Bolsonaro逾436万票

巴西巴西利亚——据路透社报道,巴西高等选举法院(TSE)10月25日(周日)宣布,现任总统 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 赢得总统选举决选,击败右翼参议员 Flávio Bolsonaro,赢得第四个非连续任期。此前数小时,民调机构 Datafolha 已先行宣布 Lula 胜选预测;此次由选举法院本身在其官方计票页将本次选举标记为「数学上已成定局」,是本轮计票的决定性节点。
选举法院官方计票页巴西利亚时间21时24分的快照显示,全国499,248个计票区段已处理498,538个、占99.86%:Lula 得票64,137,770张、占有效票51.76%;Flávio Bolsonaro 得票59,769,627张、占48.24%;Lula 领先4,368,143票,余下未计区段已无法改变结果。计票当晚走势几经反复:已计5%时 Lula 以51.16%领先,已计13.65%时 Bolsonaro 以50.01%反超,已计47.62%时 Lula 以50.01%微弱居首,直至计票过半后领先逐步扩大。
Lula 是自1989年巴西恢复总统直选以来,首位在第一轮落败、最终在决选翻盘胜出的候选人:10月4日第一轮中,Flávio Bolsonaro 以47.03%对45.16%领先 Lula,差距约220万票。Lula 将于10月27日年满81岁,其第四个任期定于2027年1月5日开始,距他2003年首次就任总统相隔24年。
决选投票日当天进程并不平静:因多州接送选民的公交出现问题及部分地区暴雨,巴西最高法院法官 Cristiano Zanin 批准两大阵营的申请,将投票延长两小时。本站将继续跟进选举法院的最终完整计票与两大阵营的后续表态。
关联:人物特稿:卢拉胜选,从擦鞋童到四度当选总统——卢拉生平与从政经历
Follow-Up: Brazil's Electoral Court Declares Lula Winner of Presidential Runoff With 51.76% at 99.86% of Sections Counted, Leading Flavio Bolsonaro by Over 4.36 Million Votes
BRASILIA, Brazil — Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) on Sunday declared President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva the winner of the presidential runoff, defeating right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro to secure a fourth non-consecutive term, according to Reuters. The declaration came hours after polling firm Datafolha had projected a Lula victory; this time the electoral court itself marked the election as mathematically decided on its official results page, the decisive step in the count.
A snapshot of the court's official tally at 9:24 p.m. Brasilia time showed 498,538 of Brazil's 499,248 polling sections processed, or 99.86%: Lula had 64,137,770 votes, 51.76% of valid votes, against 59,769,627 votes, or 48.24%, for Flavio Bolsonaro — a lead of 4,368,143 votes that the remaining sections could not overturn. The lead changed hands repeatedly during the evening: Lula led with 51.16% at 5% counted, Bolsonaro edged ahead with 50.01% at 13.65%, and Lula was back in front by just 50.01% at 47.62%, before his advantage widened steadily once more than half the sections were in.
Lula is the first candidate since direct presidential elections returned in 1989 to win a runoff after losing the first round: on October 4, Flavio Bolsonaro finished ahead with 47.03% to Lula's 45.16%, a gap of about 2.2 million votes. Lula turns 81 on October 27, and his fourth term is scheduled to begin on January 5, 2027, 24 years after he first took office in 2003.
Election day itself was turbulent: after problems with buses transporting voters in several states and heavy rain in some areas, Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin granted requests from both campaigns and extended voting by two hours. GSM will follow the court's final complete tally and responses from both camps.
来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)
图片来源:图:巴西利亚的巴西国民议会大楼(资料照片)。Cayambe 摄,CC BY-SA 3.0,经 Wikimedia Commons 发布。/ The National Congress buildings in Brasilia, Brazil (file photo). Photo by Cayambe, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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