MPI报告：上财年约66万人被驱逐，未达白宫每年100万目标
移民政策研究所（Migration Policy Institute，MPI）10月22日发布的报告估计，美国在上一个财政年度共驱逐约66万人，高于特朗普第二任期第一年的约62万人，但未达到白宫提出的每年驱逐100万人的目标。
报告基于通过《信息自由法》申请获得的公开数据。分析显示，国土安全部（Department of Homeland Security，DHS）在特朗普第二任期的前18个月共执行约98万次驱逐。上财年的约66万人较2021至2024年拜登政府时期的年均水平高出26%，但仍远低于2000年克林顿政府时期录得的186万人。
报告同时指出执行结构的变化：自愿离境人数创历史新高，自2025年1月特朗普重返白宫以来约17万人选择自愿离境；在境内被捕后遭驱逐者的占比由2025年的约28%升至今年7月的39%；而2025年1月20日至2026年7月31日期间，全部被驱逐者中69%最初是在南部边境被截获。报告还称，被驱逐者中多数从未被定罪。
数据透明度是报告的另一焦点：国土安全部自2025年1月起停止定期公布同类数据。MPI访问学者 Marc Rosenblum 此前曾主管国土安全部国土安全统计办公室，他表示目前公开的数据远少于该部以往的水平。本周二，白宫方面公布的自家统计称特朗普第二任期已有120万名移民被驱逐或遣返，与MPI的估算存在差距，原因暂无法核对。（GSM 据美联社报道）
MPI Report: About 660,000 Deported Last Fiscal Year, Short of White House's 1 Million Goal
The Trump administration deported about 660,000 people over the past fiscal year, according to a report released Thursday, October 22, by the Migration Policy Institute (MPI) — up from about 620,000 in the first year of President Donald Trump's second term, but short of the White House's stated goal of 1 million deportations a year.
The analysis, based on publicly available data obtained through Freedom of Information Act requests, found that the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) carried out about 980,000 deportations during the first 18 months of Trump's second term. The roughly 660,000 deportations in the last fiscal year were 26% above the yearly average from 2021 to 2024 under President Joe Biden, but well below the 1.86 million recorded in 2000 under President Bill Clinton.
The report also detailed shifts in enforcement. Voluntary departures reached an all-time high, with about 170,000 people choosing to leave since Trump returned to office in January 2025. The share of deportees arrested in the U.S. interior rose from about 28% in 2025 to 39% by July of this year, while 69% of all those deported between January 20, 2025, and July 31, 2026, were initially intercepted at the southern border. Most people deported had never been convicted of a crime, the analysis said.
The report also flagged a loss of transparency: DHS stopped regularly releasing such figures in January 2025. Marc Rosenblum, an MPI visiting fellow who until July led the DHS Office of Homeland Security Statistics, said far fewer numbers are now being released than the department historically published. On Tuesday, the administration released its own figures claiming 1.2 million migrants had been deported or removed during Trump's second term; the discrepancy with MPI's estimate could not immediately be reconciled. (GSM, via the Associated Press)
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：移民登上遣返航班的停机坪现场，前景为边境巡逻队 Rio Grande Valley 辖区负责人 Gloria Chavez（美国海关与边境保护局 CBP 发布，公共领域，2023年6月资料图，经 Wikimedia Commons）。 / Migrants board a repatriation flight as Border Patrol Chief Gloria Chavez looks on (U.S. Customs and Border Protection, public domain, June 2023 file photo, via Wikimedia Commons).
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