金价守住每盎司4100美元上方 市场静待美联储下周会议
现货黄金在10月19日（周一）下跌约0.6%后，10月20日（周二）亚洲交易时段守在每盎司4,100美元上方，市场等待美联储（Federal Reserve）下周的货币政策会议。据路透社报道，格林尼治时间3时47分，现货黄金上涨0.1%，报每盎司4,145.22美元，美国12月交割黄金期货上涨0.1%，报4,164.70美元；据彭博社数据，新加坡时间上午7时47分，现货黄金报4,134.91美元，白银报56.93美元。
美联储联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）定于10月27日至28日举行会议。据芝加哥商品交易所（CME）FedWatch 工具数据，交易员预期下周维持利率不变的概率约为82%；彭博社报道称，交易员同时预计年底前再加息一次的概率约为90%。彭博社还报道，美联储主席 Kevin Warsh 在会议静默期开始前曾表态支持维持利率不变，市场对下周加息25个基点的预期已从上月底约三分之二的水平降至20%以下。
Capital.com 高级金融市场分析师 Kyle Rodda 向路透社表示，无论美联储作出何种决定，市场都可能出现大幅波动，若利率维持不变，最初的反应可能对金价有利；他同时指出，中东局势缓和与油价回落也可能给金价提供支撑。彭博社数据显示，金价10月以来大体守在4,100美元上方，此前一个月的跌幅超过6%。
Gold Holds Above $4,100 an Ounce as Markets Await Next Week's Fed Meeting
Spot gold held above $4,100 an ounce in Asian trading on Tuesday, October 20, after falling about 0.6 percent in the previous session, as market participants looked ahead to next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting. Reuters reported spot gold was up 0.1 percent at $4,145.22 an ounce by 0347 GMT, with US gold futures for December delivery up 0.1 percent at $4,164.70. Bloomberg data showed bullion at $4,134.91 an ounce at 7:47 a.m. in Singapore, with silver at $56.93.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on October 27-28. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in about an 82 percent chance the Fed leaves rates unchanged next week, Reuters reported, while Bloomberg reported traders still see roughly a 90 percent probability of another rate increase by the end of the year. Bloomberg also reported that Chair Kevin Warsh signalled support for keeping rates on hold ahead of the pre-meeting communications blackout, pushing bets on a quarter-point hike next week below 20 percent, from as likely as two-in-three late last month.
Kyle Rodda, a senior financial market analyst at Capital.com, told Reuters there is likely to be a big move no matter what the Fed does, and that holding rates steady could initially support gold; he added that a de-escalation of Middle East tensions and lower oil prices could also help bullion. Bloomberg data showed gold has generally held above $4,100 so far in October, after a decline of more than 6 percent the previous month.
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图片来源：图：金条资料图，Stevebidmead 摄，CC0，经 Wikimedia Commons。Photo: Gold bars (file photo), by Stevebidmead, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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