FactSet：标普500三季度盈利增速29% 连续第三季超25% 但超预期幅度低于五年均值
纽约——数据机构FactSet于10月16日发布的最新一期《盈利洞察》报告显示，标普500指数三季度混合盈利增速为29.0%，较一周前的29.4%小幅回落。若这一增速最终成立，将是该指数连续第三个季度实现25%以上的盈利增长。
截至10月16日，标普500成分股公司中已有9%公布三季度实际业绩，其中84%的公司每股收益高于分析师平均预期。不过，已公布公司的实际盈利合计仅高于预期2.6%，低于7.5%的五年平均超预期幅度。同期混合营收增速升至12.6%，高于一周前的12.4%。
板块层面，医疗健康板块盈利预期的下调是整体增速回落的主要原因，能源板块预期的上调形成部分抵消；能源板块的上修与医疗健康板块的营收超预期同时带动了营收增速。报告还显示，三季度盈利预期在季度内不降反升：6月30日时，分析师对三季度的预计增速为26.7%。
本周将有约70家标普500公司发布财报，包括特斯拉、Meta、Netflix等市场关注度最高的公司，三季度财报季进入最密集阶段。LSEG IBES的数据预计，三季度盈利增速将超过30%。
FactSet: S&P 500 Q3 Earnings Growth at 29%, a Third Straight Quarter Above 25%
NEW YORK — The blended third-quarter earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 stood at 29.0% as of October 16, down slightly from 29.4% a week earlier, according to FactSet's latest Earnings Insight report. If the rate holds, it would mark the index's third straight quarter of earnings growth above 25%.
With 9% of S&P 500 companies having reported third-quarter results by October 16, 84% had posted earnings per share above the mean analyst estimate. In aggregate, however, reported earnings were only 2.6% above estimates, below the five-year average surprise of 7.5%. The blended revenue growth rate rose to 12.6%, from 12.4% a week earlier.
Cuts to health care earnings estimates drove the decline in the overall growth rate, partly offset by upward revisions in energy, FactSet said; energy revisions and health care revenue surprises also lifted the revenue growth rate. Estimates rose during the quarter itself: on June 30, the expected third-quarter growth rate was 26.7%.
About 70 S&P 500 companies report this week, including Tesla, Meta and Netflix, in the busiest stretch of the season. LSEG IBES data puts expected third-quarter earnings growth above 30%.
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