内华达州长民调47%对47%:隆巴多与福特打平,胜负系于尚未投票的支持者

内华达州州长选举的最新民调10月31日公布:Noble Predictive Insights 公司10月26日至28日对487名可能选民的调查显示,共和党现任州长 Joe Lombardo 与民主党挑战者 Aaron Ford 以47%比47%打成平手。《里诺公报》报道了这项民调;9月的同机构调查中,Lombardo 还略占优势。
民调机构创始人兼首席执行官 Mike Noble 指出,关键区别在投票进度:Ford 在已投票选民中领先13个百分点,Lombardo 在尚未投票的选民中领先12个百分点。这意味着 Lombardo 的大批支持者仍需把支持转化为选票。
Ford 在独立选民中以45%比39%领先,但10%的独立选民尚未决定,超过全州未决定比例的两倍。其他全州竞选方面,民主党在副州长、总检察长与州务卿三场竞选中均领先。该民调误差范围为正负4.4个百分点,选举日为11月3日。
Nevada Governor's Race Tied 47-47 Between Lombardo and Ford in Final Poll
Nevada's governor's race is dead even in the final stretch. A Noble Predictive Insights poll of 487 likely voters conducted October 26–28 shows Republican Governor Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford tied at 47 percent each, the Reno Gazette Journal reported. Lombardo held a slight edge in the firm's September survey.
Mike Noble, the polling firm's founder and CEO, pointed to a split by voting progress: Ford leads by 13 points among voters who have already cast ballots, while Lombardo leads by 12 among those who have not yet voted — meaning many of the governor's supporters still need to turn out.
Ford leads independents 45 percent to 39 percent, but 10 percent of independents are undecided, more than twice the statewide share. Democrats also lead in the races for lieutenant governor, attorney general and secretary of state. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 points. Election Day is November 3.
来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)
图片来源:图:内华达州州长 Joe Lombardo 官方肖像(GSM 固定图库)。 / Photo: Official portrait of Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo (GSM asset library).
GSM Global · 本篇英文版 English edition of this story

