《辛普森一家》被传预言11月17日全球大停电：剧集没写2026年，当天只有美国紧急警报测试
社交平台近日疯传一种说法，称动画剧《辛普森一家》早已预言2026年11月17日会发生全球大停电，距离所称日期只剩几天，相关帖文与短视频在多家平台扩散。据Parade杂志11月13日梳理，这股热议追溯到的剧集其实从未写明2026年，剧中受影响的也只是虚构小镇Springfield，并非全世界，目前没有任何可信证据显示11月17日会发生全球停电。
被网友翻出的剧集是第35季第7集《It's a Blunderful Life》，2023年11月19日首播。剧中年老的Lisa回顾一次让Springfield陷入黑暗六天的停电，Homer一度被怪罪，实际责任在Mr. Burns。Lisa的日记里出现11月17日与一场逼近的风暴，这处细节被传言单独截出，放大成了对2026年的预言。Parade指出，原集没有给出停电发生的年份。
巴西事实核查机构Lupa指出，这条时间线与2026年的日历也对不上：剧中Springfield在停电六天后于感恩节恢复供电，而2026年的感恩节是11月26日，往前六天是11月20日，不是11月17日。换句话说，传言同时改动了年份、范围与日期关系。
11月17日当天在美国确有一件已排定的事，但与停电无关。美国联邦紧急事务管理局（FEMA）与联邦通信委员会（FCC）9月16日公布，将于11月17日美东时间下午2时20分举行全国紧急警报系统（EAS）测试，广播电视、有线、卫星与有线视频服务商将中断正常节目约一分钟，播出英西双语测试讯息，内容明确写明这只是一次测试、公众无须采取任何行动，也不发送手机警报，更不会关闭电力。如因当日情况需要改期，备用日期为12月3日。
Parade的结论是，这次《辛普森一家》预言并不成立。FEMA与FCC的官方公告中没有任何停电安排，事实核查机构同样未找到全球停电的证据。
Viral Claim Says The Simpsons Predicted a Global Blackout on November 17: The Episode Names No Year, and the Day Brings Only a U.S. Emergency Alert Test
A claim spreading on social media says the animated series The Simpsons predicted a worldwide blackout on November 17, 2026, and with the date only days away, posts and short videos carrying the theory have spread across platforms. According to Parade on November 13, the episode behind the claim never identifies 2026 as the year, the fictional disaster affects only the town of Springfield rather than the whole planet, and there is no credible evidence of a global blackout on November 17.
The episode being recirculated is It's a Blunderful Life, the seventh episode of Season 35, first aired on November 19, 2023. In it, an elderly Lisa looks back on a power outage that left Springfield in darkness for six days. Homer takes the blame, although Mr. Burns is actually responsible. Lisa's diary references November 17, with a storm approaching, and that detail has been lifted out and turned into a prediction for 2026. Parade notes that the episode gives no year for the outage.
Brazilian fact-checking agency Lupa points out that the timeline does not match the 2026 calendar either: in the episode, Springfield's power returns on Thanksgiving, six days after the outage, whereas Thanksgiving in 2026 falls on November 26, which would put the outage on November 20, not November 17. In other words, the viral version changes the year, the scope and the date relationship at the same time.
Something is scheduled in the United States on November 17, but it has nothing to do with shutting off power. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) announced on September 16 that they will conduct a nationwide test of the Emergency Alert System (EAS) at 2:20 p.m. Eastern Time on November 17. Radio and television broadcasters, cable systems, satellite providers and wireline video providers will interrupt programming for about one minute to relay a test message in English and Spanish stating that it is only a test and no action is required by the public. No cellphone alerts are planned, and the test will not shut down electricity. If conditions require a delay, the backup date is December 3.
Parade's conclusion is that this particular Simpsons prediction does not hold up. Neither FEMA nor the FCC has announced any power shutdown, and fact-checkers have found no evidence of a global blackout.
来源：Parade杂志
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：资料图：停电期间靠烛光照明的房间（Billjones94摄，CC BY-SA 4.0，经Wikimedia Commons），已裁为16:9，非涉事剧集画面。/ File photo: a room lit by candlelight during a power outage (photo by Billjones94, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons), cropped to 16:9; not a frame from the episode.
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