华盛顿能源信息署冬季燃料展望：11月至3月燃油取暖户均支出2115美元涨21%，天然气户640美元降9%
华盛顿哥伦比亚特区消息—美国能源信息署（EIA）10月6日随10月《短期能源展望》发布2026—27年《冬季燃料展望》，预计今年冬季（11月至次年3月）美国家庭取暖支出因燃料不同而分化：以取暖燃油为主要燃料的家庭户均支出约2115美元、较上个冬季涨21%；以电力取暖的家庭约1196美元、涨4%；以丙烷取暖的家庭约1246美元、降3%；以天然气取暖的家庭约640美元、降9%。
据 EIA，以天然气或丙烷为主要取暖燃料的家庭约占全美家庭一半，其支出下降与这两类燃料价格走低有关；取暖燃油家庭约占全美家庭3%、多集中于东北部，其支出涨幅最大，主因是燃油价格今冬预计平均上涨逾三成，东北部天气较暖的预期只能抵消其中一部分。EIA 署长特里斯坦·阿比（Tristan Abbey）表示，进入冬季时天然气库存相对较高，为取暖需求提供了缓冲，而依赖取暖燃油的家庭则面临馏分油市场偏紧带来的高价格。
EIA 预计今冬全国平均气温与上个冬季及过去十个冬季的平均水平大致相同。上述数字均为全国户均预测值，单个家庭的实际账单取决于所在地区天气、住宅与设备情况，展望本身不构成对任何家庭具体支出的承诺。
EIA Winter Fuels Outlook in Washington: November-to-March Heating Oil Spending Forecast at $2,115, Up 21%, While Natural Gas Homes Average $640, Down 9%
WASHINGTON, District of Columbia — In the 2026–27 Winter Fuels Outlook, released on October 6 alongside the October Short-Term Energy Outlook, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects household heating spending this winter (November through March) to split by fuel: homes that primarily heat with heating oil are forecast to spend about $2,115 on average, up 21% from last winter; electricity-heated homes about $1,196, up 4%; propane-heated homes about $1,246, down 3%; and natural-gas-heated homes about $640, down 9%.
According to EIA, households that primarily heat with natural gas or propane — about half of U.S. households — will spend less because prices for those fuels are lower. Homes using heating oil, about 3% of U.S. households and located mostly in the Northeast, face the largest increase: heating oil prices are forecast to rise by more than 30% on average, with milder Northeast weather offsetting only part of the increase. EIA Administrator Tristan Abbey said relatively high natural gas inventories entering the winter season provide a cushion for heating demand, while households that rely on heating oil face higher prices because distillate markets remain tight.
EIA expects national winter temperatures to be about the same as last winter and the previous 10-winter average. The figures are national average forecasts; an individual household's actual bills depend on regional weather, the home and its equipment, and the outlook is not a prediction of any single household's spending.
来源链接：美国能源信息署发布（eia.gov）： https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/releases/press593.php
来源：美国能源信息署
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：燃油配送车。Daderot 摄，CC0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: A heating oil delivery truck. Photo by Daderot, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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