NAFSA初步预估美国2026–27学年或少11.1万名国际学生：降幅约9.5%，俄亥俄州立大学主校区国际学生降12.7%至5,234人
国际教育工作者协会NAFSA与研究机构JB International的初步预估显示，美国在2026–27学年可能减少多达111,000名国际学生，降幅约9.5%。预估称，这一减少可能使美国经济少约34亿美元贡献，并使近40,000个岗位面临风险。发布方注明，111,000人为预估数，并非最终确认的在读人数；各校数字为其报告的2026年秋季变化。
多所大学已报告国际学生人数下降。俄亥俄州立大学主校区国际学生较2025年秋季减少12.7%，降至5,234人，尽管该校总在读人数增长1.4%；该校来自中国的学生减少20.7%。印第安纳大学国际学生同比减少15.6%；北德克萨斯州大学2025年秋季至2026年秋季间减少逾1,300名国际学生；威斯康星大学系统报告称，其总在读人数减少中近三分之二来自国际学生减少。
NAFSA引用的数据显示，2026年秋季美国博士项目申请减少21%，参与调查的研究型大学国际学生录取减少17%；2026–27申请季经Common App提交的国际申请减少9%。报道把签证预约延误、移民审查趋严与学生移民政策不确定性列为下滑因素，并称德国、西班牙与日本等目的地正承接部分改选他国的学生。NAFSA呼吁美国政府改善学生签证处理、重新审视影响国际学生的限制，并保留毕业后实习OPT安排。
NAFSA Projection: U.S. Could Lose 111,000 International Students in 2026–27, a Drop of About 9.5%, as Ohio State's Main-Campus International Enrollment Falls 12.7% to 5,234
Preliminary projections by NAFSA: Association of International Educators and research firm JB International estimate that the United States could lose as many as 111,000 international students during the 2026–27 academic year, a decline of about 9.5 percent. The projected reduction could cost the U.S. economy approximately $3.4 billion in economic contributions and put nearly 40,000 jobs at risk. The publishers note that the 111,000 figure is a projection, not a confirmed final enrollment count, and that individual university figures are reported fall 2026 changes.
Several major universities have already reported declines. Ohio State University recorded a 12.7 percent decrease in international students at its main campus compared with fall 2025, falling to 5,234, despite an overall 1.4 percent increase in university enrollment; the university also reported a 20.7 percent decline in students from China. International enrollment at Indiana University dropped 15.6 percent year over year, the University of North Texas lost more than 1,300 international students between fall 2025 and fall 2026, and the Universities of Wisconsin system reported that international students accounted for nearly two-thirds of its overall enrollment losses.
Data cited by NAFSA indicate that applications to U.S. doctoral programs fell 21 percent for fall 2026, contributing to a 17 percent decline in international admissions at participating research universities, while international submissions through the Common App declined by 9 percent for the 2026–27 application cycle. Visa appointment delays, increased immigration scrutiny and uncertainty around student immigration policies were cited among the factors, with Germany, Spain and Japan named among destinations benefiting from students reconsidering U.S. plans. NAFSA urged the U.S. government to improve student visa processing, reconsider restrictions affecting international students and preserve Optional Practical Training (OPT).
来源：NAFSA国际教育工作者协会
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：俄亥俄州立大学校园（Wikimedia Commons）
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