NAHB住房市场指数10月跌至29：为2012年6月以来最低，43%建商降价
全美住宅建筑商协会（NAHB）10月19日发布，NAHB与富国银行联合编制的住房市场指数（HMI）10月下跌3点至29，为2012年6月以来最低读数，反映按揭利率上升、能源与材料成本走高以及劳动力与地块条件恶化对建商信心的挤压。
三大分项10月全线下跌：当前销售状况指数跌2点至33，未来六个月销售预期指数跌5点至32，潜在购房者流量指数跌5点至18。HMI高于50表示认为市况良好的建商多于认为不好的，29远低于这一分界。
NAHB主席Bill Owens说：「近几周按揭利率已升至7%以上，加上油价与通胀走高，进一步削弱了全国多地的购房者流量。」
NAHB首席经济学家Robert Dietz说，住房市场仍受供给侧约束与可负担性问题挤压，需求仍在，但更高的按揭利率、建筑成本与转弱的消费者信心让更多买家留在场外，购房者流量已降至2012年4月以来最低（2020年4月疫情初期除外）。
调查还显示，43%的建商在10月下调了价格，为2020至2026年期间的最高比例；平均降价幅度连续第七个月保持在6%。65%的建商10月使用了销售激励。
（来源：全美住宅建筑商协会）
NAHB Housing Market Index Falls to 29 in October: Lowest Since June 2012 as 43% of Builders Cut Prices
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported on October 19 that the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) fell three points to 29 in October, its lowest reading since June 2012, as rising mortgage rates, higher energy and material costs, and worsening labor and lot conditions weighed on builder sentiment.
All three major components declined in October. The index for current sales conditions fell two points to 33, sales expectations for the next six months dropped five points to 32, and the index for traffic of prospective buyers fell five points to 18. Any HMI reading above 50 means more builders rate conditions as good than poor, so 29 sits far below that line.
"Mortgage rates have climbed well above 7% in recent weeks, and higher gas prices and inflation have further weakened buyer traffic across much of the country," said NAHB Chairman Bill Owens, a home builder and remodeler from Worthington, Ohio.
NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz said housing remains squeezed by supply-side constraints and affordability challenges: demand persists, but higher mortgage rates, elevated construction costs and weaker consumer confidence are keeping more buyers on the sidelines, and buyer traffic has fallen to its lowest level since April 2012, excluding the onset of the pandemic in April 2020.
The survey also found that 43 percent of builders cut prices in October, the highest share during the 2020-2026 period, with the average cut holding at 6 percent for a seventh straight month. In October, 65 percent of builders reported using sales incentives.
(Source: National Association of Home Builders)
来源：全美住宅建筑商协会
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：密歇根州一处在建新屋（资料图）。Dwight Burdette 摄，CC BY 3.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / A new home under construction in Michigan (file photo). Photo by Dwight Burdette, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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