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印度尼西亚:10月年通胀率放缓至3.23% 辣椒与燃油推高食品和交通价格

2026-11-02 · 世界 · GSM News
印度尼西亚:10月年通胀率放缓至3.23% 辣椒与燃油推高食品和交通价格

印度尼西亚统计局11月2日公布的官方数据显示,印度尼西亚10月年通胀率从9月的3.28%略微放缓至3.23%,低于调查预测中值3.29%,继续处于印度尼西亚银行为2026年与2027年设定的1.5%至3.5%目标区间内。

按月计算,10月消费价格上涨0.22%,消费者价格指数从9月的112.31升至112.56;今年以来累计通胀为2.40%。剔除政府管制价格与波动性食品价格的年核心通胀率为2.56%,低于9月的2.84%,也低于调查预测的2.75%。

统计局副局长 Ateng Hartono 说,10月通胀的主要驱动因素是食品价格,包括红辣椒、小米辣、番茄等,以及燃油涨价推高的交通费用。食品、饮料与烟草类价格当月上涨0.51%,对总通胀贡献0.15个百分点,其中红辣椒一项贡献0.13个百分点;波动性价格组上涨0.77%。按年计算,食品类通胀为4.82%,交通类为4.87%。

为支撑不断下跌的印尼盾并锚定通胀,印度尼西亚银行在今年5月至6月间累计加息100个基点。分析认为,10月数据表明价格压力主要来自食品供给冲击而非广泛的需求过热。

Indonesia: Annual Inflation Eases to 3.23 Percent in October as Chili and Fuel Lift Food and Transport Prices

Indonesia's annual inflation rate slowed slightly to 3.23 percent in October, from 3.28 percent in September, official data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) showed on Monday, November 2, compared with a median forecast of 3.29 percent, and remained within Bank Indonesia's target band of 1.5 to 3.5 percent for 2026 and 2027.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.22 percent in October, with the consumer price index climbing from 112.31 in September to 112.56, and year-to-date inflation at 2.40 percent. The annual core inflation rate, which strips out government-controlled prices and volatile food prices, was 2.56 percent, down from 2.84 percent in September and below the poll forecast of 2.75 percent.

Ateng Hartono, deputy chief of Statistics Indonesia, said the drivers of October inflation were mainly food prices, including red chili, bird's eye chili and tomatoes, as well as higher transport fares caused by fuel price rises. Food, beverages and tobacco rose 0.51 percent in the month and contributed 0.15 percentage point to headline inflation, with red chili alone contributing 0.13 point, while the volatile price component rose 0.77 percent. On an annual basis, food inflation ran at 4.82 percent and transport at 4.87 percent.

Bank Indonesia raised its benchmark rate by a total of 100 basis points between May and June to shore up the falling rupiah and anchor inflation. Analysts said the October figures point to food supply shocks, rather than broad-based demand, as the main driver of price pressures.

来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)

图片来源:照片:市场摊位上的红辣椒(资料图),PattayaPatrol 摄,Wikimedia Commons,CC BY-SA 4.0 授权 / Photo: Red chilies at a market stall (file photo), by PattayaPatrol, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

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