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犹他州众议院选情终评:75个选区11处变动全部向民主党移动、共和党占优席位降至53席

2026-10-30 · 各州 · GSM News
犹他州众议院选情终评:75个选区11处变动全部向民主党移动、共和党占优席位降至53席

犹他州全州,犹他政治观察网站10月30日公布选举日前最后一次州众议院选情评级,对全部75个州众议院选区作出评定,其中11个选区的评级在本次更新中发生变化,且连续第三次所有变化全部向民主党方向移动。

具体变化包括:4个共和党席位进入胶着区,4个席位从“可能共和党”变为“倾向共和党”,另有1个席位从“安全共和党”变为“可能共和党”。8月时共和党在61个席位占优,9月为57席加3个胶着区,如今共和党占优席位降至53席,胶着区增至7个;自8月以来,全部21次评级变化均向民主党移动。

本次评级依据选前最后一次竞选财务报告(覆盖至10月22日的筹款情况)以及全国政治环境,民主党在通用选票上领先约9个百分点。

犹他州众议院全部席位将在11月3日的中期选举中改选,评级机构提醒,最终结果仍取决于最后几天的投票率。

来源:GSM·美国

Utah House Ratings Final Update: All 11 Changes across 75 Districts Move toward Democrats, Republican-Leaning Seats Fall to 53

Utah — Utah Political Watch published its final pre-election ratings for the state House of Representatives on October 30, rating all 75 districts. Eleven districts changed in this update, and for the third consecutive time every change moved toward the Democrats.

The changes include four Republican seats moving into the toss-up column, four seats moving from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican," and one seat moving from "safe Republican" to "likely Republican." Republicans led in 61 seats in August and 57 seats plus three toss-ups in September; they now lead in 53 seats with seven toss-ups. Since August, all 21 rating changes have favored the Democrats.

The ratings are based on the final pre-election campaign finance reports, covering fundraising through October 22, and on the national political environment, with Democrats leading the generic ballot by about nine points.

All Utah House seats will be decided in the November 3 midterm elections, and the raters cautioned that final results will depend on turnout in the last days.

Source: GSM America

来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)

图片来源:图:2010 Utah State Capitol Salt Lake City。来源:Wikimedia Commons(Pocksuppet1999,CC BY-SA 3.0)

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