美国国家学生信息中心初步数据：2026年秋季本科注册仅增0.6%，研究生注册降1.6%、硕士项目降3.7%
华盛顿 — 国家学生信息中心研究中心 10 月 29 日发布的初步数据显示，2026 年秋季全美本科注册较上一年仅增 0.6%，增速明显放缓；2024 年秋季至 2025 年秋季的增幅为 2.4%。该中心称，这份初步报告汇集了约 46% 院校提交的数据，覆盖近 800 万名学生，最终秋季数字定于明年 1 月发布，数值届时可能调整。
分类型看，社区学院本科注册增 1.2%，公立四年制院校增 0.3%，私立四年制院校持平。该中心研究高级主任 Matthew Holsapple 在与记者的通话中表示，各板块注册基本持平或增幅不足 1%，他谨慎地不把当前情况称为注册下滑，并指出注册人数仍略高于一年前，今年的重要变化不是普遍下滑，而是去年那种广泛增长的消失。
研究生方面，初步数据显示研究生总注册降 1.6%，其中硕士项目降 3.7%，博士项目降 0.5%。报道指出，这是研究生贷款新上限生效的第一个学年，多名专家此前曾警告该上限可能抑制相关项目注册。
Holsapple 表示，现有数据尚不能说明贷款上限或其他联邦与院校层面的政策变化是否以及如何影响各项目注册，目前只能看到硕士与博士学生的变化形态不同，这或许指向两者之间的差异。
（来源：国家学生信息交换中心）
National Student Clearinghouse Preliminary Data: Fall 2026 Undergraduate Enrollment Rose Just 0.6 Percent, While Graduate Enrollment Fell 1.6 Percent and Master Programs Fell 3.7 Percent
Washington — Undergraduate enrollment increased by just 0.6 percent in fall 2026, according to preliminary data the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center released on October 29. Between fall 2024 and fall 2025, enrollment had increased 2.4 percent. About 46 percent of institutions submitted data covering nearly eight million students for the preliminary report, and the figures will likely change when final fall numbers are released in January.
By sector, enrollment ticked up 1.2 percent at community colleges, public four year institutions saw a 0.3 percent increase, and private four year institutions had no change. Enrollment is essentially flat, or growing by less than 1 percent across the board, said Matthew Holsapple, senior director of research at the National Student Clearinghouse, on a call with reporters. He said he was careful not to characterize the pattern as an enrollment decline, since enrollment is still slightly higher than a year ago, and the important change is the loss of the broad based growth seen last year.
On the graduate side, the early data show a 3.7 percent drop for master programs driving a 1.6 percent total decline in graduate enrollment, with doctoral program enrollment down 0.5 percent. This is the first academic year that new caps on graduate student loans took effect, and several experts have warned the limits could hinder enrollment in those programs, the report noted.
Holsapple said the data do not currently shed light on whether or how the caps or other policy changes at the federal or institutional level are affecting program enrollments. All we can see is that those enrollments are changing, he said. We see different patterns for master and Ph.D. students, which might point to some differences there.
(Source: National Student Clearinghouse)
来源：国家学生信息交换中心
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：图：大学生行走在校园中（资料图）。照片：公共领域，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: Students walking on a college campus (file photo). Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.
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