新西兰储备银行以4比3票意外维持利率2.75%：通胀3.7%仍超目标区间，行长称后续仍可能加息
新西兰储备银行（RBNZ）10月28日在惠灵顿宣布，货币政策委员会以4票对3票决定将官方现金利率（OCR）维持在2.75%不变；市场此前普遍预期加息，路透调查中27名经济学家有22人预计加息25个基点，决定公布后新西兰元一度下跌约1.7%。
储备银行表示，新西兰年度消费者价格通胀在9月季度放缓至3.7%（6月季度为4.1%），仍高于1%至3%的目标区间；受全球燃料价格高企与汇率自9月初以来下跌约3%影响，预计12月季度通胀将升至约4.4%。委员会成员对通胀前景看法一致，分歧在于各类风险的权重与进一步收紧的时机；委员会判断，更紧的货币政策很可能仍有必要，但取决于经济前景。
行长 Anna Breman 对记者表示，央行认为后续仍会看到官方现金利率上调，12月公布新预测时可能考虑再次加息；今年7月与9月已经实施的两次加息正在向经济传导。她同时表示，11月的选举不是本次维持利率的因素。下一次货币政策决定定于12月9日。
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Holds Rate at 2.75% in Surprise 4-3 Vote, Signals Further Increases Likely
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced in Wellington on October 28 that its Monetary Policy Committee voted 4 to 3 to hold the official cash rate (OCR) at 2.75%. Markets had priced in a near-certain increase: 22 of 27 economists in a Reuters poll expected a 25-basis-point hike, and the New Zealand dollar fell as much as 1.7% after the decision.
The Bank said annual consumer price inflation eased to 3.7% in the September quarter, from 4.1% in June, but remains above its 1% to 3% target band. With fuel prices high and the exchange rate down about 3% since early September, inflation is expected to rise to around 4.4% in the December quarter. Committee members shared the same overall inflation outlook but differed on the relative weight of risks and the timing of further tightening; the Committee judged that tighter monetary policy would likely be necessary, conditional on the outlook.
Governor Anna Breman told reporters the Bank expects to see further OCR increases and would likely consider another hike in December, when it releases fresh forecasts, noting that two increases delivered in July and September are still working through the economy. She said November's election was not a factor in the decision. The next policy decision is scheduled for December 9.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：新西兰储备银行大楼，位于新西兰惠灵顿。Panamitsu 摄，CC BY-SA 4.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / The Reserve Bank of New Zealand building in Wellington, New Zealand. Photo by Panamitsu, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
