美国10月消费者信心指数升7.5点至91.7：世界大型企业研究会称回升至6月水平，现状与预期指数双双改善
世界大型企业研究会（The Conference Board）10月27日发布10月消费者信心指数：指数较9月上升7.5点至91.7（1985年为100），回升至今年6月水平；9月读数经小幅上修为84.2。本次初步结果的调查期为10月1日至21日，调查由Toluna公司在线执行。
分项同样改善：现状指数上升8.6点至120.4，该指数基于消费者对当前商业与就业状况的评估，其中认为就业机会「充足」的受访者占26.7%、高于9月的24.3%，认为工作「难找」的占21.4%、与上月持平；预期指数回升6.9点至72.6，但仅部分收复此前连续三个月的跌幅。认为未来收入会增加的消费者占18.7%，预期收入减少的由14.9%降至12.0%。
该机构全球指标高级经济学家Fergus McCormick表示，10月信心回升主要由对当前与未来商业状况的看法改善带动，与9月至10月零售汽油价格回落同步；但他同时指出，信心仍处在过去数年的长期下行趋势之中，消费者计划未来六个月在服务与耐用品上减少支出，反映物价高企与通胀持续侵蚀购买力。受访者书面回复中，对物价、食品杂货价格与油价的抱怨继续上升。
其他读数：消费者对未来12个月的平均通胀预期降至5.8%、但仍处高位；计划未来六个月度假的消费者占43.3%，较9月上修后的44.2%回落0.9个百分点，其中计划国内游者增多、计划出国游者减少；购车与购房计划在六个月移动平均口径下均小幅下滑。世界大型企业研究会在每月最后一个星期二美东时间上午10时发布该指数。
US Consumer Confidence Index Rose 7.5 Points to 91.7 in October, Rebounding to June Levels, Conference Board Says
The Conference Board said on October 27 that its Consumer Confidence Index rose 7.5 points to 91.7 (1985=100) in October, rebounding to June levels, after September was revised slightly upward to 84.2. The preliminary results cover a survey period of October 1-21, conducted online by Toluna.
Both components improved. The Present Situation Index climbed 8.6 points to 120.4, with 26.7% of consumers saying jobs were plentiful, up from 24.3% in September, while 21.4% said jobs were hard to get, unchanged. The Expectations Index recovered 6.9 points to 72.6, only partially reversing three consecutive monthly declines. Some 18.7% of consumers expected their income to increase, while those expecting a decrease fell to 12.0% from 14.9%.
Fergus McCormick, Senior Economist for Global Indicators at The Conference Board, said confidence advanced in October driven primarily by improved perceptions of current and expected business conditions, in line with retail gasoline prices easing from September to October. He cautioned that confidence remained on a long-term downward trend, with consumers planning less spending on services and durable goods over the next six months, reflecting higher prices and persistent inflation eroding purchasing power.
Consumers' average 12-month inflation expectations declined to 5.8% but remained elevated. Vacation plans dipped, with 43.3% of consumers planning a vacation in the next six months, down 0.9 percentage points from September, as more planned domestic trips and fewer planned foreign trips. On a six-month moving average basis, plans to purchase autos and homes both declined slightly.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：美国一家Walmart超市的生鲜区，消费者在选购水果（资料图）。图片：Sarah Stierch，CC0（经Wikimedia Commons）
